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York Ebor Festival Day 3 Friday
ALL SET FOR ANOTHER DAY OF TOP QUALITY RACING ON THE KNAVESMIRE! The Nunthorpe takes centre stage on Day 3. We have covered all 7 races on the card again.
Make sure you scroll right down to the bottom to see any multiples we are placing. These can be added direct to your bet365 bet slip.
York Ebor Festival Day 3 Schedule
1.50 York Sky Bet Handicap (Class 2) 1m4f
2.25 York Weatherbys Hamilton Lonsdale Cup Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1) 2m1/2f
3.00 York Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Gimcrack Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1) 6f
3.35 York Coolmore Wootton Bassett Nunthorpe Stakes (Group 1) (Class 1) 5f
4.10 York British Stallion Studs EBF Convivial Maiden Stakes (Class 2) 7f
4.40 York Assured Data Protection EBF Fillies’ Handicap (Class 2) 1m21/2f
5.10 York Sky Bet Mile Handicap (Class 2) 1m
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York 1.50
This race revolves around VALUE TIP here and I thought 9/2 looked value so hopefully you took the early price as he is already proving popular in the betting. This son of Dubawi has looked thoroughly progressive in recent starts reeling off the four-timer at Glorious Goodwood last time. He had State Of Bliss held in second and given that horse has won since the form has been nicely franked. He remains open to further improvement and a 4lb higher mark shouldn’t stop him going close again – most likely winner for me.
State Of Bliss is a danger again and Strawberry Rock still has potential I think. He was beaten at Newmarket last time but didn’t really look suited by how that panned out and can run a big race here. At a massive price it wouldn’t surprise me to see Rhythmic Intent run well – might be one for the bet365 Each Way Extra markets.
York 2.25
If the ground doesn’t get too much faster we should finally see STRADIVARIUS take on Trueshan again after the last two meetings where one of them dropped out due to unsuitable ground. Stradivarius is going for his third win in the race and if back to his best on his favoured ground he will be tough to beat. He was last seen at Ascot when not given a hard time after getting shut in at a crucial stage so you can put a line through that and you would think he is relatively fresh and ready to get back to winning ways.
Trueshan is the main danger but has a 3lb penalty to carry thanks to his Group 1 Goodwood Cup win. As impressive as that was, having to give 3lb to such a good horse in Stradivarius could just be too much. In a small field it could get very tactical and I wouldn’t totally rule out Spanish Mission who has been holding his form very well over staying trips and is never too far away.
York 3.00
Lusail is favourite here and deservedly so with a record of 3 wins from 4 starts. He beat Asymmetric in the July Stakes last time and that horse has since won impressively at Goodwood. The fourth Ebro River won the Group 1 Phoenix Stakes at the Curragh next time so the form really couldn’t look any stronger. He is short enough in here though and a 3lb penalty also makes things tougher. I think at the prices I’d rather take a couple against him and so I’m going to stick with BERKSHIRE SHADOW as I just think Goodwood caught him out last time. He looked tapped for toe at a crucial stage whereas was quick enough over this trip at Ascot previously so deserves another chance. He is still improving and a big run beckons again.
At a bigger price VINTAGE CLARETS is a horse I’ve always liked and he finished third to Berkshire Shadow at Ascot before acquitting himself well in defeat when sixth in the Super Sprint at Newbury. He was only beaten 2 lengths by Gubbass and did plenty wrong there hanging left under pressure. If back to his best he could run better than his odds are suggesting and I’m happy to have a saver. Fearby is also worth a mention but he does have to prove himself up to 6f for the first time.
York 3.35
With Battaash being retired this looks a wide open Nunthorpe without the winner of the last two renewals taking his place. As a result the field size is back to normal and plenty more are taking their chances. The best performance of the year over sprint trips has been SUESA who bolted up in the King George Qatar Stakes at Goodwood. She travelled into the race so well and was only asked to go and win the race after cruising to the front a furlong out. Prior to that she ran too keen at Royal Ascot which just shows she has plenty more to come. If the ground doesn’t get rattling fast she will go very close in this.
You always have to take note of Wesley Ward’s horses in sprints and Golden Pal is favourite for this at the time of writing. He seems to have improved since last year’s second to The Lir Jet in the Norfolk at Royal Ascot. He has won a Group 2 and 3 in the States this year but will still need to improve a bit if Suesa is in the same form here. Of the rest Dragon Symbol won’t be far away and has a nice draw next to Golden Pal.
York 4.10
The good looking BROADSPEAR is poised to go one better at York on Friday. He went into my notes after a really encouraging debut run at Salisbury in June. He caught the eye travelling strongly but he was just caught out by Seattle King who looked to know his job a bit better on that occasion. They came comfortably clear from the rest and looked two smart individuals. I know the winner has been beaten since but I still think Broadspear has plenty of potential and he is already proving popular in the market here. He should be a lot sharper now and I’ll be surprised if he doesn’t at the very least go close.
Caravaggio colt Velazquez looks the danger after an improved second last time. That looks good form and he is clearly going the right way now so has to be feared. Churchill colt Dawn Of Liberation is a half-brother to Toormore and Estidhkaar and shaped as though he’d know a lot more next time when third on debut. Another one to consider in a race that should throw up plenty of future winners.
York 4.40
For a £70,000 pot this doesn’t look the deepest race and I think DECLARED INTEREST could be overpriced and is a great each way play in the race. She didn’t run badly in the Group 3 Valiant Stakes at Ascot last time but will find this a little easier even off of top-weight. She has won over 1 mile 2 furlongs before and may have scope for improvement up to this trip. I expect her to run a big race and and she won’t be far away at the finish.
At the time of writing Achelois and Umneyaat are vying for favouritism with both having fair chances and pose a threat to the selection. The former is on a hat-trick with two straightforward wins and a 6lb penalty won’t stop her running a place at least. Umneyaat has form behind the classy Create Belief and could easily have some juice in that handicap mark of 83.
York 5.10
Dubawi colt Royal Fleet is a perfect 3 from 3 and he is likely to go off a well backed favourite here. He is a keen going sort though and did pull hard at Newmarket last time. This is a better race so I’m not sure he’ll get away with it here if he does that again and that’s probably why connections have reached for a first-time hood. Not all horses take to them so I think there are enough concerns to put me off on this occasion. The one I’ve been impressed with is WISHAAH for Owen Burrows. This Oasis Dream gelding has won 2 from 3 starts and improved a chunk up to a mile at Newmarket last month. That form is working out well with both the second and third winning next time out. If he improves again he is a danger to all.
Given the shape of the race I’m happy to include DEJAME PASO at a price too. This colt by The Gurkha stayed on well to win at Sandown in June and backed that up with a really impressive win at York last month. This is obviously tougher but he looks on the upgrade and who knows where the ceiling is right now. I think he has a cracking chance at a really good each way price. The fav obviously heads the dangers (if settling) along with Star Of Orion who showed a good attitude to prevail at Newmarket and then only went down narrowly to the improving Danyah at Ascot.
York Ebor Festival Win Trixie
We have combined our three strongest bets on Day 3 of York’s Ebor Festival. If 2/3 win we should still get a decent return. Pays 45/1!
York Ebor Festival Win Trixie
York 3.00 Berkshire Shadow
York 3.35 Suesa EYE CATCHER
York 4.10 Broadspear ONE TO WATCH
Pays 45/1!
York Ebor Festival Each Way Double
I didn’t want to leave these two out either so I’ve combined them into an Each Way Double at good odds both at York on Friday. Again if both place we should get a return. Pays 100/1!