York Ebor Festival Day 4 Saturday
IT’S THE FINAL DAY OF YORK’S EBOR FESTIVAL! The Ebor takes centre stage at 3.35pm. We also have the City Of York Stakes and the Symphony Group Strensall Stakes.
Make sure you scroll right down to the bottom to see any multiples we are placing. These can be added direct to your bet365 bet slip.
York Ebor Festival Day 4 Schedule
1.50 York Sky Bet And Symphony Group Strensall Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) 1m1f
2.25 York Sky Bet Melrose Handicap (Class 2) 1m6f
3.00 York Sky Bet City Of York Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1) 7f
3.35 York Sky Bet Ebor Handicap (Class 2) 1m6f
4.10 York Julia Graves Roses Stakes (Listed) (Class 1) 5f
4.45 York Sky Bet Handicap (Class 2) 1m21/2f
5.20 York Sky Bet Apprentice Handicap (Class 2) 5f
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Just the 7 runners likely to line up for the Strensall Stakes and it is an intriguing race with horses dropping down from Group 1s to others that are stepping up to this level. I am going to side with REAL WORLD who falls into the latter category as he is seemingly thriving for the switch to turf and the addition of cheekpieces after not running that well in Meydan. He bolted up in handicap company at Royal Ascot before stepping up to the Listed Bet365 Stakes at Newbury last time and quickened away with ease. On that form he may be better than Group 3 level and if the improvement continues he will take this.
My Oberon is the main danger as he was last seen behind Love in the Group 1 Prince of Wales’s Stakes. This is significantly easier even with a 3lb penalty for winning nicely last time he dropped to this level. Now he is in calmer waters he should put it up to the selection but may fall short if Real World continues on his current trajectory. Of the rest Bell Rock would be my one to follow these two home as he always runs well at this level.
I don’t think you need me to tell you this is competitive given it is 7/1 bar the field at the time of writing. I do think IMPERIAL SUN I going to run a big race. This Sea The Stars colt probably needed the run on return at Windsor and just didn’t look suited by the tactical affair when third to Glen Again at Nottingham next time. He produced a much more polished performance when winning easily at Wolverhampton last month and even up 10lb could be a fair bit ahead of the assessor. He goes up to this trip for the first time and given he is a half-brother to St Leger winner Harbour Law the best could yet be to come.
With most firms paying enhanced places I’ve also chanced PLEASANT MAN for Roger Charlton. This son of Galileo improved back from a gelding operation when making a winning handicap debut at Salisbury in June. He ran creditably in defeat when fourth at Ascot and was denied a run at Goodwood at a crucial stage last time. He is a leggy sort who could be open to further improvement so I think he’s been a bit overlooked in the market given he is 25/1 at the time of writing. Definitely worth including.
Safe Voyage returns to try and win back-to-back renewals of this race but he does face a tougher task with SPACE BLUES lining up and just hasn’t been as good this year. Space Blues has been lightly raced this campaign and he should be at his very best after a run in the Lennox Stakes to get him to peak fitness. He cruised into the race that day from last position and lost out by just over half a length. He may have had too much to do or just wasn’t fully fit for the race. I fully expect him to be back to his best in this and go on to more Group 1 success later in the season.
Sir Busker is an interesting one dropping down to this trip. He needs a fast pace to go at and maybe that is why this race could really suit him. I think the selection may just have him for speed but William Knight’s gelding has a touch of class when getting pace to aim at and will go well. Of the rest Glorious Journey can fight it out for a place if Safe Voyage doesn’t run better than he has shown so far this season.
It’s the big one now the Sky Bet Ebor Handicap and I like two against the field here. The money is coming for HAMISH and I think that has to be significant. He hasn’t been seen for 428 days but you get the impression this has been a long-term target for this son of Motivator. He was quite a raw individual as a 3yo but he looked well suited by this track winning both starts on fast ground and soft ground. He bumped into Trueshan at Newbury and we all know how good that horse is now. He wasn’t at his best at Ascot when last seen in the Hardwicke this time last year but could have more to offer now. I know he has been well punted but I still want to keep him on side and have decided to take the 13/2 on offer.
Both Mt Leinster and Sonnyboyliston are big dangers but I think they are about the right prices so ROBERTO ESCOBARR is my each way saver this year. This Galileo colt improved to win here in June and was only beaten 4 lengths by Hukum in the John Smith’s Silver Cup Stakes here last month. He makes his handicap debut now and there could be more to come after just the 6 career starts. I think 20/1 is a bit insulting given the potential he brings to the table so I’ve decided to include him. Tribal Craft and Global Storm complete the shortlist in what looks a fairly decent renewal.
This could prove one of the better renewals of this race with some potentially classy sorts lining up here. Some of the form on offer is top notch and it doesn’t get much better than CATURRA who ran within 3 lengths of the winners in Group 2s this season. In between those runs he won a Listed race over 6 furlongs and back down to the minimum trip could see him improve again. He does have a 3lb penalty which makes life tougher but this isn’t as hard as the races he has been contesting and will go very well.
The time Attagirl set at Newbury is amongst the best around and suggests she is a group horse. She ran behind Zain Claudette this season who won nicely at York this week and she will be thereabouts at the finish. The other horse who should put up a bold show is Boonie who ran well behind Armor in a Group 3 at Goodwood. That looks like a hot race and if running to that level he will have a say at the finish.
The way MIGRATION sauntered into the lead at Goodwood last time was mightily impressive and while an 8lb rise is more than enough this horse is clearly improving fast and with the promise of more to come I think he is going to be really competitive here. I think the key to him here is going to be the pace and while he got away with it last time this does look tougher and he has the rise to manage so if they go hard that would be ideal as it would help pull him into the race and then look to quicken by late on. Cockalorum and Harrovian have potential to go hard and that will suit. If he gets the gaps I don’t see how he doesn’t go close.
Footstepsinthesand gelding LUCANDER won this last year and he is only a 1lb higher and while he has enough to prove on recent efforts he is the type who can bounce back and this track clearly suits him. He is still relatively lightly raced for his age and I don’t think he should be written off. He is already being nibbled at in the betting and 16/1 is clearly too big about a horse we know can win a race like this. Wahraan has won his last 2 but up 10lb this will certainly demand more. Kingman colt Aerion Power is a horse I like as well and he completes the shortlist.
The final race of the York Ebor Festival and we finish up with a very competitive apprentice handicap. I am going to have two in this race starting with A PINT OF BEAR who ran a cracker in the World Pool Handicap at Goodwood. He seems to be improving all the time at 5 furlongs and has only been raised a pound for that run. He will go very close if running to that level again.
The other selection ran in that Goodwood race and only lost out by 4 lengths but gets dropped a couple of pounds for that. REBEL AT DAWN with a draw in 4 looks a big price and is a decent each way bet. He was going close off the higher mark and the handicapper has given him a serious chance here. Of the rest Atalis Bay is a classy sort who drops into handicap company which is interesting. The worry with him is the amount of weight he gives away. Another at a decent each way price Imperium Blue could well be the main danger after clocking some nice figures in handicaps and is more than capable off a mark of just 86.
York Ebor Festival Win Double
The NAP runs on ITV Racing on Saturday so we’ve included it with another strong fancy at York on Saturday to make a Win Double. Pays 4/1!
York Ebor Festival Each Way Trixie
With so much good racing from York on Saturday we’ve also decided to include an Each Way Trixie. If we get 2/3 winners we will get a nice return. If all 3 place it will also be profit so fingers crossed. Pays 220/1!
York Ebor Festival Each Way Double
I can see both of these running well so I’ve also included them in an Each Way Double on Saturday afternoon. Pays 150/1!