ITV Racing Good Friday Preview
ALL WEATHER CHAMPIONSHIPS DAY ON GOOD FRIDAY! Action live on ITV Racing from Newcastle and Lingfield. Previews available for all 9 races.
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ITV Racing Good Friday Preview
2.00 Newcastle All-Weather Mile Championships Conditions Stakes (Class 2) 1m
2.20 Lingfield Betway All-Weather Vase Sprint Handicap (Class 3) 6f
2.35 Newcastle Betway All-Weather Sprint Championships Conditions Stakes (Class 2) 6f
2.55 Lingfield Coral All-Weather Vase Three-Year-Old Handicap (Class 4) 6f
3.10 Newcastle Coral 3 Year Old All-Weather Championships Conditions Stakes (Class 2) 6f
3.45 Newcastle Coral All-Weather Fillies’ And Mares’ Championships Conditions Stakes (Class 2) 7f
4.00 Lingfield All-Weather Vase Mile Handicap (Class 3) 1m
4.15 Newcastle Betway All-Weather Marathon Championships Conditions Stakes (Class 2) 2m1/2f
4.45 Newcastle Betway Easter Classic All-Weather Middle Distance Championships Conditions Stakes (Class 2) 1m2f
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This doesn’t look the deepest renewal of this race and it really does look like MY OBERON’s to lose. He qualified for this on his seasonal reappearance before running well in sixth in the Dubai Turf in Meydan. This race is far easier than that contest and as long as that hasn’t left a mark he should cut through this pack in the closing stages and take all the beating.
There are dangers in this race but they have plenty to find with the selection at least 6lb clear on ratings with all of these. The main danger is likely La Tihaty if bouncing back. Amilcar is another one who ran well at Wolverhampton on reappearance. He should be better for that run and if replicating his form in Listed company will go well too.
This is fiercely competitive and TOMMY DE VITO will have to bring his best to win this but he does look progressive on the AW. He showed battling qualities to come out on top off the back of a mammoth layoff at Kempton back in October and backed that up with a cosy win at Southwell in January. He wasn’t disgraced in a race that tactically played out against him last month and he should be spot on for this now. He has an awkward draw but will be ridden quietly and should come home strong under Rossa Ryan.
Crimson Sand remains in great form and has first-time cheekpieces so looks one of the obvious dangers with Buick up. Jack’s Point struck over C&D last time and is only up 2lb so also has to enter calculations. Whittle Le Woods is likeable but might find one or two too good in the closing stages.
This is a wide open renewal and it is worth taking a chance on VENTUROUS at a big price. He is on a hat-trick after two wins at the track including a course and distance win last time. He won both of those races easily clocking a good speed figure in the process. If in the same form he is overpriced here and will go very well.
There are plenty of dangers in the race but Ejtilaab looks the main threat. He has won over course and distance previously and his run last time at Kempton suggests he has improved again and will be in the mix.
Zameka is unexposed and will likely prove popular in the betting for an in-form Roger Varian but he won’t be much of a price and this is more competitive than the market is likely to represent. I like the chances of AASSER for Karl Burke. This colt caught the eye going down just a length on debut before improving to miss a short head on his second start. He was headed in the final stride so it was no surprise to see him heavily backed dropping back to this trip and getting the job done last time.
Of the rest Vespasian has won 2 of his last 3 and is also open to further improvement so has to be considered. Clase Azul Ultra is also worth a mention with connections now reaching for the blinkers.
This looks like a cracking race with some really useful prospects in here. TIBER FLOW gets the narrow vote over El Caballo. The unbeaten son of Caravaggio has won with plenty in hand on all 3 starts. His debut win came over course and distance he won nicely even after being slow away. He has a fair bit to find with El Caballo on ratings but looks to have plenty more to come and will go close.
El Caballo has won all of his last 4 starts including a Listed win on his last start. If he is in the same form he will be a threat to everyone in the field but I just feel the selection could have a lot more to come.
Internationalangel was very impressive on penultimate start to make it 6 wins in a row but she saw that run come to an end last time up to Listed level and has ground to make up with HIGHFIELD PRINCESS. The latter is a very solid mare at this level and she found the drop back to 5f against her last time but was only beaten half a length. This is much more her trip and I can see her leading these a merry dance under Jason Hart. I’m actually quite surprised at her odds as I thought she’d be clear favourite.
Not just a two-horse race though as Arousing would have claims if bouncing back. She impressed winning on penultimate start and I think that last run is best forgiven. She can be a tricky ride but if she settles it wouldn’t be a massive surprise to see her come home well.
The bookies go 5/1 the field at the time of writing which just shows how competitive this is. I quite like SHOOT TO KILL at a nice each way price. He has already won over course and distance this season and gets Darragh Keenan back onboard who has won on him in 3 of his last 4 rides on him. He ran keen last time out so the jockey could be key to his chances and I think he will go well.
Proclaimer is on a 4-timer after rattling up a hat-trick at Kempton. He is up 5lb for his latest win which seems fair and he rates the main danger. On The Session is another who could be overpriced and could challenge for a place at least.
It usually pays to side with one at the top of the betting here so it won’t surprise you that I’m confident SLEEPING LION can take a bit of beating. This flashy chestnut really impressed at Kempton on return and freshened up since with this the likely target if he reproduces that sort of run he will have most of these covered. He has always had a touch of class about him and he looks to have plenty going for him again. 10/3 looks about the right price but it wouldn’t surprise me if the bookies did try to oppose in the morning so I’ll be keeping an eye out as that certainly wouldn’t put me off.
Given the nature of the race NATE THE GREAT will be my each way saver. He is bred to keep improving with age and he showed a good attitude to peg back Onesmoothoperator over C&D last time. He has been largely overlooked in the betting and I can see him getting involved. Earlofthecotswolds heads the dangers as he comes out quite well on speed figures and is on a hat-trick in this sphere.
This looks a good opportunity for TYRRHENIAN SEA to make up for a luckless run last time. He really should be unbeaten after winning his first 3 but he had no run last time when boxed in when travelling by far the best at Kempton. He has 7lb to find with Living Legend but would have been close to that if winning that race last time out. He is clearly talented and will take some beating here.
Living Legend has good form at Listed level and sets the bar for form in the book but may struggle to cope with the improvement of the selection. United Front is the other horse who I think can go well back at this trip.