Cheltenham Festival Day 3 Best Bets

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Here you will find our Cheltenham Festival Day 3 Best Bets. This includes both our NAP (best bet) & NB (Next Best) which we’ve combined to make a Daily Double.

There are 7 races at Cheltenham again on Thursday and our best bets run in the Stayers’ Hurdle and the Plate.

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Cheltenham Festival Day 3 NAP – Best Bet

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Cheltenham 3.05 Paisley Park (9/4)

Leading staying hurdler who made relentless headway to peg back Thyme Hill and win the Long Walk Hurdle at Ascot in December; excuses in this last year so looking to put that right now and regain his crown.

Key Trends to note

– 14 of the last 24 winners had won or placed at the Festival
– Previous winners of the race tend to go well
– Hold-up horses are suited by the new course at Cheltenham
– 1 of the last 48 winners were 10 or above
– No 5yo has ever won

Losing Thyme Hill at the 7-day declaration stage was a big loss for the race and we miss out on the re-match against PAISLEY PARK but we were likely to side with today’s selection anyway. It would be amazing to see Paisley Park regain his Stayers Hurdle crown after he didn’t run his race last year due to a heart issue. He looks to have a great chance and back to his best when last seen chinning Thyme Hill on the line at Ascot. He will be staying on again and if in the same form as last time he will take all the beating.

Last years winner Lisnagar Oscar never gets the credit he deserves and will go under the radar again. He hasn’t done much this season but comes alive at Cheltenham and I wouldn’t write-up him off. Flooring Porter has been popular in the build-up as he beat most of the Irish challengers last time but it will be really tough from the front.

So who are the dangers?

The main dangers I think are Sire Du Berlais who has an incredible record at the Festival, Fury Road who’s form behind Monkfish would put him right up there in this and finally The Storyteller who is ultra constant and will surely run a big race.

Anything worth a saver?

I think at the odds it’s worth backing THE STORYTELLER each way. He will be staying on strongly in the closing stages and is the biggest price of those mentioned. He ran a cracker when second to Kemboy in the Irish Gold Cup last time and if he can replicate that level of form back over hurdles he is nailed on to run into the frame. Keith Donoghue is likely to ride him patiently and he should have every chance to come up the hill.

Stayers’ Hurdle

Cheltenham Thursday 3.05 Paisley Park (best price 9/4) NAP

The Storyteller (best price 11/1) Each Way Saver

Cheltenham Festival Day 3 NEXT BEST – Second Best Bet

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Cheltenham 3.40 The Shunter (9/2)

Improved no end for Emmet Mullins winning 4 of his last 6 and really impressed in the Greatwood here in November, winning with plenty in hand; shaped well over fences at Leopardstown before winning gamely latest; more to come.

Key trends to note

– The past 5 winners were novices or second-season chasers
– The past 5 winners had contested a Graded novice hurdle or novice chase
– 12 of the past 16 winners ran on or after 25 Jan
– 11 of the past 17 winners had 9 or less chase starts
– The past 7 winners were rated in the 140s

Given the nature of the race 9/2 is about right for THE SHUNTER but he is the most likely winner for me. He won the Greatwood in impressive style and shaped as though he’d benefit from a step up in trip when third to A Wave Of The Sea at Leopardstown last month. He came on again to win the Morebattle at Kelso last time showing a good attitude and with further progress a distinct possibility back over fences and up in trip he is surely going to go close and give connections a good crack at that £100K bonus. They should go a good pace here and it will really help give him a target to aim at. He was always doing enough at the line last time and this trip should prove ideal.

Farclas won the Triumph impressively here in 2018 and has run in some red-hot handicaps this season so has the interesting profile to try and take him on with but I just think he has the potential to rate higher and if he steps forward again he’ll go very close.

Who’s the dangers?

A Wave Of The Sea did it well last time with the selection back in third so while I fancy The Shunter to reverse that he is still a lively danger again especially with this stiffer test likely to suit. Caribean Boy has been well touted by his jockey Daryl Jacob and looked impressive at Newbury in November. He lost his way a bit since though so has a bit to prove but shouldn’t be far away in this field. At a big price it wouldn’t surprise me to see Oldgrangewood run well for the Skelton’s. He has some very solid form in the book and looks a bit big at around 25/1!

Is there an each way saver to be had?

Definitely. In a race as competitive as this I’ve got to back one at a bigger price each way and that horse is SULLY D’OC AA for Anthony Honeyball. This horse won really well at Ascot on return in October following a wind op and he was in the process of running a big race at Newbury before making an error at the last. He lost a lot of momentum before keeping on again so that effort can be upgraded. He has been put away since and has clearly been targeted at this race off a mark of 137. Worth including.

Plate Handicap Chase

Cheltenham Thursday 3.40 The Shunter (best price 9/2) NEXT BEST

Sully D’Oc Aa (best price 18/1) Each Way Saver

Cheltenham Festival Day 3 Daily Double

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We’ve combined our two strongest bets on Day 3 of the Cheltenham Festival to make a Daily Double which is a great way of covering our two best bets of the day to maximise profit.

Cheltenham Festival Day 3 Daily Double

Cheltenham Thursday 3.05 Paisley Park NAP

Cheltenham Thursday 3.40 The Shunter NEXT BEST

Pays 16/1!

Cheltenham Festival Day 3 Each Way Saver Double

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As mentioned above we’ve backed two horses at big prices as they look value in the betting so here we’ve combined them to make an Each Way Saver Double. If both place we should make some good profit.

Cheltenham Festival Day 3 Each Way Saver Double

Cheltenham Thursday 3.05 The Storyteller EACH WAY SAVER

Cheltenham Thursday 3.40 Sully D’Oc Aa EACH WAY SAVER

Pays 155/1!