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Royal Ascot Day 4 Preview
ROYAL ASCOT DAY 4! It’s the penultimate day of Royal Ascot and arguably the most competitive. We’ve picked out some big prices to try and give the bookies a bashing!
Make sure you scroll right down to the bottom to see any multiples we are placing. These can be added direct to your bet365 bet slip.
Royal Ascot Day 4 Schedule
2.30 Ascot Albany Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Class 1 6f
3.05 Ascot King Edward VII Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Class 1 1m4f
3.40 Ascot Commonwealth Cup (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Class 1 6f
4.20 Ascot Coronation Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Fillies) Class 1 1m
5.00 Ascot Sandringham Stakes (Handicap) (Fillies) Class 2 1m
5.35 Ascot Duke Of Edinburgh Stakes (Handicap) Class 2 1m4f
6.10 Ascot Palace Of Holyroodhouse Stakes (Handicap) Class 2 5f
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Royal Ascot 2.30 Albany Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Class 1 6f
Wide open Albany Stakes even with a slightly smaller field than usual. There are plenty of horses in this with 1 win from 1 run and all looked pretty impressive but it is hard to know what they have beaten and it is worth taking on some at the top of the market with a couple at bigger prices.
Dandella won last year’s renewal and they have two in this and I quite like both of them. OSCULA is the shorter of the two and she is the most experienced in the field. She has ran 3 times winning her last 2 and is the pick of jockey Mark Crehan. The times of all 3 of her runs are amongst the best on offer and she will handle most conditions.
George Boughey’s other runner HELLOMYDARLIN only won last week at Goodwood but came through the field nicely to record a decent time. She won’t want too much rain but is a decent each way prospect. Elliptic was the other one who I thought could be a decent price with her win against Quick Suzy being franked at Ascot already this week and just ran into a classy one last time. From the leading contenders Flotus looks like the main danger with Frankie Dettori onboard and even though she did beat an average field on debut she did do it very easily but at a short enough price that was enough to put me off.
Royal Ascot 3.05 King Edward VII Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Class 1 1m4f
I think TITLE could be the most talented of these. I know he has a high head carriage and that might be enough to put off some people but you cannot deny he battled last time and for me he was always getting on top in the closing stages. The second Sea Karats is unexposed and had previously chased home Gloria Mundi and Mystery Angel so the form stacks up. He has only had 3 runs so there should be lots more to come yet and if he improves again I think he can take this with conditions looking ideal.
Alenquer has looked progressive making a bright start winning on debut before showing improved form up in trip on return at Sandown. The second Adayar won The Derby next time so the form doesn’t get much better than that. He’s understandably installed as favourite which makes Title look good value as strictly on the clock there isn’t much between them. Obviously Adayar took a big step forward to win the Classic so I’m not sure it’s the best idea taking that form literally. The Mediterranean is best of the rest with further progress a near certainty.
Royal Ascot 3.40 Commonwealth Cup (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Colts & Fillies) Class 1 6f
Huge field for the Commonwealth Cup this year with 20 set to go to post. Campanelle is the favourite at the time of writing but I am actually going to take Wesley Ward’s classy filly on. His horses are usually ahead of the rest as 2 year olds but the rest usually catch up at 3 plus they haven’t be able to get a run into her.
The first one I am taking her on with is DRAGON SYMBOL who has improved with every run, winning 4 of his last 5. He probably would have been 5 from 5 if the winning post was a yard further and will likely get a bit more cover in this race. The times of his races are amongst the best on offer and he should go close here at a fair each way price.
I have been looking for a big price in this but it is hard to make a case for anything at huge prices but SUPREMACY at 10/1 at the time of writing looks good value on his form last season. He needed the run at Windsor on debut and then stepped forward substantially so I am willing to put his comeback run down to him needing it. Clive Cox won this last year so knows how to get one ready for this race and he has added first time blinkers as well. He could be a big price if running to the level he did when winning the Middle Park Stakes as a 2yo.
Other than Campanelle the main danger is another filly in Suesa who is 4 from 4 and will need more rain than on Wednesday night to be at her best. If it gets soft she could go off favourite so certainly one to keep an eye on.
Royal Ascot 4.20 Coronation Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Fillies) Class 1 1m
Jessica Harrington has won 2 of the last 3 runnings on this race with Alpha Centauri and Alpine Star but they are represented by the rank outsider of the field here in Oodnadatta and she is hard to make a case for. Potapova has won both her starts impressively and that visual impression has been backed up by the clock. I nearly made her my selection but this is a lot tougher so while she has potential I think this test is coming soon enough. EMPRESS JOSEPHINE might not be the first string for Aidan O’Brien but I was really impressed with that late surge to win the Irish 1000 Guineas and with a strong pace on here which she should relish and hopefully a drop more rain overnight this could pan out perfectly for this daughter of Galileo.
Stablemate Mother Earth looms as a big danger and is Moore’s choice but I feel like she sets the standard and might be a bit vulnerable to an improver like the selection. She should run well but 4/1 offers little value. Pretty Gorgeous is talented but she ran disappointingly on return and has enough to prove after that. I’ll be keeping an eye on SNOW LANTERN as I’m hoping she’ll bounce back as I expected big things after that Newbury win but she failed to back it up last time. Given she is quite a big price I’ll probably end up having an each way saver.
Royal Ascot 5.00 Sandringham Stakes (Handicap) (Fillies) Class 2 1m
You know this race is going to be a bit of a lottery when you open up the betting and it’s 11/1 the field. Hopefully like the last few years we can get one at a big price. With the pace looking to be down the middle CREATE BELIEF looks a solid bet after 2 nice wins at a mile. She seems to be improving still and with the rain coming it should set up nicely for her as she has the option to go stand side from a draw of 16.
The other filly I quite like is BEHELD who has ran consistently well on all 3 of her runs winning on debut and finishing 2nd twice by small margins. She is by Frankel and I think she will be better at this trip and the first time headgear could bring even further improvement. I can’t see why she wouldn’t improve, off of a really low weight with decent draw (can go stand side) she is a big price in what is obviously a deep race.
The main danger for me is Friendly who is 11/1 at the time of writing, has a great draw and very good form but I woudn’t want to take one of the favs in this field carrying top weight. Kestenna is another one that catches the eye but her opening mark certainly is no gift.
Royal Ascot 5.35 Duke Of Edinburgh Stakes (Handicap) Class 2 1m4f
Quickthorn and Aaddeey obviously bring the potential to the table but this is fiercely competitive and I think the market principals might be worth opposing here. MIRANN catches the eye for Johnny Murtagh. I think he’s been gradually improving this season and he caught the eye on return at the Curragh over an inadequate trip doing some good work late and only beaten 2 and three quarter lengths. He looked a bit below par at Cork but was back on the up at the Curragh last time arguably unlucky in defeat having met trouble 2f out. With a clear run he may well have taken that contest so while this is obviously harder he still has potential off his current mark and at 14/1 I can see him getting involved at the business end.
The value of the race has to be JEREMIAH for Charlie Fellowes. This horse is tough and he showed that winning over C&D last season. When he channels his ability in the right direction he is a very good horse and I know he was only third at Thirsk on return but that run should blow away the cobwebs for this and given this track and trip clearly suits him well I think he will run a big race with Jamie Spencer booked for the ride. He is the sort of horse he excels on.
Royal Ascot 6.10 Palace Of Holyroodhouse Stakes (Handicap) Class 2 5f
Like the majority of the handicaps it’s a big field to finish the day and I am going for the bigger prices again which has done well so far this week. My first pick is BEDFORD FLYER who won nicely at York making all last month and looks as though this 5 furlongs at Ascot would be perfect for him. He has run on soft before so ground isn’t a big worry and he will likely go to the stand side and give it a good go on the speed at a nice price.
The other selection is DREAM COMPOSER who looks as though he has a fair bit to come after two fine margin wins leading into this and could have done it by more if needed. As a result he gets the standard 6lb penalty and could still be under the radar. The pace is up the stand side and he is drawn 23 so will come late and I think he will run a big race.
Boomshalaa dropping in trip is the main danger going for his hat-trick off of a mark of 92. He could be a fair bit better than that but at 6/1 at the time of writing I am happy to take my two against him in a very competitive race.
Royal Ascot ITV Racing Each Way Trixie
With 7 races live on ITV Racing again from Royal Ascot on Friday we have included an Each Way Trixie which includes 3 of our best bets on the channel this afternoon. If 2/3 win we’ll still lock in some decent profit.
Royal Ascot ITV Racing Each Way Trixie
Royal Ascot 3.05 Title EYE CATCHER
Royal Ascot 3.40 Dragon Symbol
Royal Ascot 4.20 Empress Josephine
Pays 288/1!
Royal Ascot ITV Racing Each Way Double
With so much competitive racing on Friday live on ITV Racing we’ve also included an Each Way Double. These are two horses at decent odds we can see running big. If both place we should still make a return.
Royal Ascot ITV Racing Each Way Double
Royal Ascot 5.35 Mirann
Royal Ascot 6.10 Dream Composer LONGSHOT
Pays 224/1!