ITV Racing Thursday Preview
WE’RE IN FOR A TREAT ON THURSDAY! It’s the July Stakes from Newmarket with 3 Group races on the channel PLUS action from Carlisle.
Make sure you scroll right down to the bottom to see any multiples we are placing. These can be added direct to your bet365 bet slip.
ITV Racing Preview Thursday Schedule
1.50 Newmarket (July) Bahrain Trophy Stakes (Group 3) Class 1 1m5f
2.05 Carlisle OEE “Making The Best Better” EBF Fillies’ Handicap Class 4 6f
2.25 Newmarket (July) Tattersalls July Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Class 1 6f
3.00 Newmarket (July) Each Way Extra At bet365 Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Class 2 6f
3.35 Newmarket (July) Princess Of Wales’s Tattersalls Stakes (Group 2) Class 1 1m4f
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Newmarket (July) 1.50 Bahrain Trophy Stakes (Group 3) Class 1 1m5f
This is a race John Gosden has done really well in over the years and STOWELL looks to have a decent chance to extend his trainer’s fine record. He ran on really well in the Queen’s Vase at Royal Ascot considering he was so far back turning in and you have to mark that performance up only 2 and half lengths behind the winner who had a dream trip on the front end. He is still improving and fits the profile of Gosden’s previous winners and should be tough to beat in the ITV opener.
The main danger and one I think is overpriced is Dancing King. He was behind the selection at Royal Ascot but broke slowly and was hampered when trying to close. Before that run he had won 4 handicaps in a row and I wouldn’t write him off after one unlucky run but with just 6 runners I’m siding against having an each way saver with just 2 places up for grabs.
Carlisle 2.05 OEE “Making The Best Better” EBF Fillies’ Handicap Class 4 6f
A race 3 year olds do very well in and there looks at be a standout 3yo in the field in the shape of VELOCISTAR. She has gone so close in her last 4 runs (defeated by under 2 lengths each time) and has now been put back down to a mark of 63. She doesn’t want the ground too fast so the good, good to soft in places looks perfect for her and she will go very well in this.
The main danger for me is further down the list in Penny Pot Lane who has been running well over this trip and has now been put down to a mark of 68 which she is more than capable of winning off. The other one who is interesting is Gometra Ginty who drops back down to 6 furlongs. She is in great form and is a previous course and distance winner.
Newmarket (July) 2.25 Tattersalls July Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Class 1 6f
With the best form on offer and the step up to 6f promising to suit PROJECT DANTE has to be a confident selection here. This colt by Showcasing showed a great attitude to make a winning debut at York and that form has been well advertised since. He probably improved in defeat when third in the Norfolk at Royal Ascot next time. He was a little slow into stride and was denied a run when trying to make headway 2f out. By the time he really lengthened the line was just coming too soon but he ran on well to finish just a head back in third. This extra furlong should bring about further improvement and he looks sure to go close.
Eldrickjones shaped with an abundance of promise when beaten just a nose on debut and backed that up with a big run in the Coventry last time meeting trouble before flying home. He looks the most obvious danger with lots more to come. Ebro River won the National Stakes in great style and ran a solid race in fifth behind Eldrickjones last time. He can be a bit headstrong but if he settles he also has to be considered. At a huge price JADHLAAN might run better than his odds are suggesting so I’ve had a small each way saver as he did it nicely at York last time but obviously this is much tougher.
Newmarket (July) 3.00 Each Way Extra At bet365 Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Class 2 6f
I don’t think it will surprise you that I’ve taken three against the field for this. It’s fiercely competitive as it usually is and my leading hope has to be the Eve Johnson Houghton-trained JUMBY with Charlie Bishop in the saddle. This colt by New Bay ran to a decent level as a 2yo and caught the eye on return running a big race in third behind Creative Force. The form of that race has worked out well since with the winner looking progressive and the second Significantly channeling his ability in the right direction to beat Boomshalaa (fav for this) at Royal Ascot. Even the fifth Rohaan has gone on to prove himself a Group performer so it really was a strong piece of form. He confirmed that to win his next start running on well with subsequent Britannia winner Perotto only fourth. Things didn’t go to plan in the Commonwealth Cup but conditions were shocking and I fancy him to bounce back on this quick surface.
My second play in the race has to be POPMASTER for Ed Walker. This horse was unlucky not to win at Pontefract in April and again seemed to find trouble when denied a nose at Doncaster. He has a lot of ability and I think he has a big one in him off this mark if things drop right. He was only beaten 3 lengths behind Significantly and Boomshalaa at Royal Ascot last time and if he builds on that after just 6 starts he might have gone a bit under the radar here. He will be held up so will need a bit of luck coming through but with Oisin Murphy booked I can see him being a bit of a market springer come post time.
My third and final play in the race is BLIND BEGGAR for the in-form Richard Fahey. This horse really impressed making the breakthrough at Catterick on penultimate start. He had Touchwood 9 lengths back in second and that horse is a solid yardstick. He was beaten at York last time but he was briefly short of room before keeping on. He had excuses for me and I think he is still capable of better so at a big price I’ve had a small each way saver especially with the yard firing in the winners over the last week or so. He is also likely to be held on to but does have plenty of pace around him so might get a nice toe in. Blackrod, Jadwal and Whenthedealinsdone completed the shortlist in a wide open renewal.
Newmarket (July) 3.35 Princess Of Wales’s Tattersalls Stakes (Group 2) Class 1 1m4f
Despite getting beaten in the Coronation Cup last time I thought AL AASY ran a huge race. His Newbury win was ever so impressive on the eye so he was always going to be a bit overbet at Epsom last time. He was given enough to do by Crowley but made relentless headway to come through and serve it up to Pyledriver. He looked to have the latter cooked at one point but credit to the eventual winner he would not lay down and kept digging in up the rail. What I liked was how Al Aasy kept responding and he really made the winner pull out all the stops. The pair pulled a widening 7 lengths clear from the rest and I think despite going down for me he enhanced his credentials if anything. He still looks a horse learning his trade which is a bit of a funny thing to say given he is a 4yo who has had 8 runs now but I can still see him improving further. This is certainly no given but I think his class will tell and he should get back to winning ways.
Highest Ground won nicely at Leicester and that is form that has worked out well with the second Outbox beating Logician on his next start. I know the latter is probably not the same horse now but it was still a very good run. He never landed a blow in the Hardwicke Stakes last time but he is better than that and this better ground will help. He is respected but I think Sir Ron Priestley is a bigger danger. He needs to settle as he has pulled his chance away the last twice but prior to that he had looked progressive so if there is one horse that will force a fight with the fav I think it’s him.
ITV Racing Win Treble
With 5 races live on ITV Racing on Thursday we have included a Win Treble which includes 3 of our best bets on the channel this afternoon. Pays 20/1!
ITV Racing Each Way Double
With some good racing from Newmarket and Carlisle on Thursday we also have two horses running live on ITV Racing that we fancy to go close at slightly bigger odds. If both place we should still get a return. Pays 50/1!