Arc De Triomphe Longchamp Preview Sunday
THE ARC IS LIVE ON ITV RACING ON SUNDAY! We have given our in-depth preview of the big race on Sunday and included main dangers.
ITV Racing Preview Sunday Schedule
1.15 Longchamp Qatar Prix Marcel Boussac (Group 1) 1m
1.50 Longchamp Qatar Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere (Group 1) 7f
2.25 Longchamp Qatar Arabian World Cup (Group 1) 1m2f
3.05 Longchamp Qatar Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe (Group 1) 1m4f
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1.15 Longchamp
It’s a shame Raclette has come out now due to the ground. It’s blown the opener wide open and I’m going to chance AGARTHA to return to winning ways for Joseph O’Brien. She has won 2 of her last 3 and this Caravaggio filly only went down three-quarters of a length at the Curragh when last seen. The horse that beat her for Jessica Harrington Discoveries looks a nice prospect so I think that form has substance. She steps up to a mile now and if she is as effective she has to go close.
Fleur D’Iris has also won 2 of her last 3 and impressed over track and trip last time. She looks the obvious danger but at a bigger price I wouldn’t be surprised to see Frankel filly Natasha run a big race with Frankie Dettori in the saddle. She is clearly improving and could run a big race.
1.50 Longchamp
I think the market has completely overlooked ANGEL BLEU and I’m expecting a massive run here for Ralph Beckett. This filly ran a cracker beaten just a length by New Science at Ascot and turned out quickly (just 3 days later) she went one better at Goodwood, quickening up to win smartly. To me she is improving with every run and while this is tougher she should relish this sort of test if they go an honest gallop and I think she’s way too big in the betting at around 13/2.
Ebro River was beaten 4 lengths by Native Trail in a Group 1 at the Curragh last time. He looks the one to beat but well found in the market. Ancient Rome is 3 from 4 and looks an uncomplicated sort so should run well and looks best of the rest.
2.25 Longchamp
It’s the Arabian World Cup now! I have to admit I had to take a while going through the form as wasn’t familiar with it all. I saw Ebraz win well here 3 weeks ago and he is probably the one to beat but not much value in his odds in an open renewal. ABBES looks the each way play. He won the President Cup at Doncaster last time and has won 2 of his last 3 now. If he runs to that sort of level again in the blinkers then he might just get involved as he looks a classy sort.
Lady Princess won at Goodwood at the end of July and she may well be best of the rest if matching that form here. Soko also arrives in winning form having won over this trip at Deauville in August and is also likely to have his supporters.
3.05 Longchamp
The Arc at Longchamp is a race we look forward to all year long and this renewal is as good as ever. As much as I would like to see Dermot Weld win the Arc with Tarnawa I have sided with ADAYAR. He really came to the fore when winning the Epsom Derby by over 4 lengths earlier in the season and followed that up with a nice win over Mishriff in the King George at Ascot. He won that race going away and the size of him there is clearly more to come. It was a big vote of confidence that William Buick chose to ride him over Hurricane Lane and he for me is the one to beat.
Hurricane Lane is a favourite of ours and has done very little wrong all season with the only blip being the Derby where he lost two shoes. I can see why Buick has decided on the selection as not many win the St Leger and backup in the Arc or I would fancy him to win this. That said I think it could still easily be a Godolphin 1-2.
Tarnawa has done nothing wrong this season with her only defeat coming to the top class St Mark’s Basilica. You can see why she is vying for favouritism but has to give the 3 year olds weight which swayed the vote. All the horses mentioned should have no issue with the ground but if you want one that may not be as classy but will love conditions then having few quid on ALENQUER wouldn’t hurt if you can get 4 places.
3.50 Longchamp
This is wide open so I’ve taken two against the field. My main hope in the race has to be James Fanshawe’s AUDARYA as she ran a cracker in this 12 months ago chasing home Tarnawa and Alpine Star. She is a big filly who handles testing conditions so the rain certainly won’t bother her. She was denied just a short head by Grand Glory at Deauville last time and should be spot on for this now. She is a tough and honest sort who doesn’t know how to run a bad race so when the others have cried enough I think she’ll be toughing this out.
Given that most recent form I’ve also included GRAND GLORY at a double-figure price. Dettori gets the leg up and if things fall right she could bring up the hat-trick here. Definitely worth including! Dangers include Palmas who is a perfect 3-3 and we are yet to see where her limitations lie. Frankel filly Sibila Spain and Galileo filly Joan Of Arc are unlikely to be far away either. Good race!
4.25 Longchamp
This is a race that is always controversial as the draw has such an impact and it is magnified so much being a sprint. A single-figure draw is usually necessary to win this bar a few exceptions which makes it hard to tip a favourite of mine Suesa. I am going to take a bit of a punt on A CASE OF YOU who may not have hit the heights of a few of the fancied runners but is improving as the season goes on and is drawn perfectly. He has only ran over this trip twice and it produced his best run last time out in the Group 1 Derrinstown Stud at the Curragh and he is worth a bet at a nice each way price.
Suesa is obviously the best in this on ratings but as I said will need plenty of luck with a draw of 12. The main danger could well be Winter Power who will be looking to bounce back after a poor run last time but on her Nunthorpe form she would be bang there and is drawn in 8 which isn’t too bad.
5.00 Longchamp
Space Blues has to be a bit of a concern on this ground and I’m surprised he is favourite to be honest as I just think it will blunt that turn of foot. Kinross beat him on testing ground at Goodwood and would have to have a major shout here. I like PEARLS GALORE at a bigger price though. She won good contests at Fairyhouse and Tipperary before bumping into No Speak Alexander in the Matron at Leopardstown last month. She remains open to further improvement and a similar performance would put her right in the mix here. I think she’s been a bit overlooked in the market.
Sagamiyra likes it here having won both starts at this track and with the cheekpieces added she could progress again so looks one of the main dangers. Speak Of The Devil has form that ties in with the latter and only went down a neck in third at Deauville behind Mother Earth prior to that so her form entitles her to have a big each way shout as well. Another cracking race, can’t wait!
5.30 Longchamp
Tricky race to call so tentative votes go to WE RIDE THE WORLD and ALBA POWER here. The former is actually vying for favouritism having won 2 of his last 3. He drops in grade having finished fifth in a Group 3 at Deauville last time. Top-weight but with good reason and should run a big race here. He will definitely find this easier so granted usual luck in-running I think he’ll go close. For some insurance you could back him each way given he is around 11/2 at the time of writing.
Alba Power comes here in winning form and also has to be included at a much bigger price. He has Barzalona in the saddle which is a plus and the yard are going well. He was only beaten a length at this track in June and if he produces some of his best form that would definitely see him involved. Plenty of dangers probably headed by King Robbe. He was an encouraging fourth at Fontainebleau last month and won off this mark over course and distance in the spring so lots to like. Caliste also catches the eye back in handicap company.
6.00 Longchamp
Another tough race to finish but I like the hat-trick seeking DANTES in the lucky last. This son of Poet’s Voice has shown a good attitude the last twice and looks to have turned a corner since joining this stable. He remains unexposed to a certain extent and if he can find further improvement then that would make him the one to beat in this field. I can see him being popular in the betting so might go off shorter than the 4/1 on offer right now.
Torpen certainly has the ability to take this out but a wide draw does make life tougher. He went down narrowly to Brouillard last time and his run when third to Wonder Boy only beaten a length before that was also a likeable effort. Marillaman finished third over course and distance four weeks ago and that sort of form also gives him a squeak in here.
Longchamp Win Double
Some cracking racing coming up this afternoon from France so we have included our two strongest bets to make a Win Double in France. Pays 20/1!
Longchamp Each Way Double
I’ve also decided to include these two at big prices as I think they’ll both go close. Even if they both place we will have a nice return. Pays 66/1!