ITV Racing Easter Monday Preview
IRISH GRAND NATIONAL LIVE ON ITV RACING ON EASTER MONDAY! Also AW racing from Kempton including the Snowdrop Fillies’ Stakes.
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ITV Racing Easter Monday Preview
2.55 Kempton Join Racing TV Now Conditions Stakes (Class 2) 1m
3.15 Fairyhouse Fairyhouse Steel Handicap Hurdle 2m51/2f
3.30 Kempton Racing TV Rosebery Handicap (Class 2) 1m3f
3.50 Fairyhouse Rathbarry & Glenview Studs Hurdle (Grade 2) 2m4f
4.05 Kempton Racing TV Snowdrop Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) 1m
4.20 Fairyhouse Devilish Chase (Grade 2) 2m4f
5.00 Fairyhouse BoyleSports Irish Grand National Chase 3m5f
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Kempton 2.55
A trappy opener to start ITV Racing on Easter Monday and I’m inclined to take a chance on Kitten’s Joy colt BAYRAQ for Owen Burrows. This flashy chestnut cost $120,000 and he caught the eye travelling strongly through the race before looking like he’d come on for the run when third here back in September last year. He improved to win over the same track and trip next time and has been put away since. He would have strengthened up since and he remains a nice prospect.
Saga bumped into Modern Games and then Coroebus before opening his account at Ascot in good style. He also looks to have a bright future so is the most obvious danger. Caravaggio colt Maljoom is also going to improve so can’t be ruled out either.
Kempton 2.55 Join Racing TV Now Conditions Stakes (Class 2) 1m
Fairyhouse 3.15
A really wide open race with plenty of chances but based on the trends it pays to be nearer the bottom half of the weights. A few of the reserves would have big chances if getting in but of those already guaranteed a run HOMME D’UN SOIR looks a good bet. He was beaten just under 2 lengths by the favourite for this race Carrig Sam. He is now 7lb better off with that rival and has a good chance to reverse the form. This trip looks like the ideal one for him currently and he will go well.
Carrig Sam is progressive that’s for sure and would be the danger even off top weight. If reserves Song Of Earth or Wild Hunt get in they will both be solid options here. Festival D’ex has been backed after finishing a good second at Naas but needs more again.
Fairyhouse 3.15 Fairyhouse Steel Handicap Hurdle 2m51/2f
Sir Michael Stoute looks to hold the key here with the progressive HASTY SAILOR. This son of Fastnet Rock looked firmly on the upgrade when last seen winning at Wolverhampton and given he is proven fresh an 8lb higher mark shouldn’t be enough to anchor him. The way he put it to bed the last day was impressive for the grade and given he is likely to have progressed again from 4 to 5 he looks good value at 13/2 (slight drift) to make a winning return. He has only actually had 7 starts winning 3 of them so remains very much unexposed.
Diamond Bay is obviously in terrific form having won 4 of his last 5 but that has come at a lower level than this and a further 7lb rise is definitely going to test his credentials. Boss Power is interesting as he can go well fresh but I’m not sure how much if anything he has in hand. Farhan could be the one at a bigger price to threaten if taking to the surface.
Kempton 3.30 Racing TV Rosebery Handicap (Class 2) 1m3f
Hasty Sailor 13/2 each way VALUE TIP
Fairyhouse 3.50
An interesting renewal with plenty of good form on offer, none better than THEDEVILSCOACHMAN’s form. His Grade 2 win at Navan in February has worked out really well with beaten horses that day running well at Cheltenham and Aintree. The fact he is likely still improving as well makes him the one to beat here. I can see hm travelling strongly into this and hopefully he finds enough to come out on top.
Flame Bearer is the main danger stepping into this company after 3 wins from his last 3 over hurdles including 2 Grade 2s in novice company. This will be tougher again though so he will need another career best if he is to come out on top.
Fairyhouse 3.50 Rathbarry & Glenview Studs Hurdle (Grade 2) 2m4f
Kempton 4.05
It’s been a good start to the season for Haggas and he has another nice filly reappearing here in the shape of MY ASTRA. She won her first two starts in the style of a really nice prospect and she was far from disgraced when second in Listed company in France on final start in testing ground. She is likely to have developed and matured since and this looks a good starting point for her before being targeted at bigger prizes down the line.
Roman Mist has fitness on side having ran a good second over C&D on return. She should run well but I think she lacks the potential of the favourite. Potapova was highly tried when last seen and could emerge as the danger in these calmer waters.
Kempton 4.05 Racing TV Snowdrop Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) 1m
Fairyhouse 4.20
Willie Mullins has won 2 of the 3 runnings of this race and has a great chance to make it 3 with JANIDIL. He is clear on ratings and faces a much easier race than when finishing second to his superstar stablemate Allaho at Cheltenham. He has held his own at Grade 1 level and if replicating any of that form he will win this. No surprise to see him figuring at the top of the market for this and he should justify favouritism.
Blackbow from the same stable is interesting getting weight from the selection but is unproven at this level but is likely best of the rest. Easy Game has won over track and trip and may well give Mullins a 1-2-3.
Fairyhouse 4.20 Devilish Chase (Grade 2) 2m4f
Fairyhouse 5.00
A cracking renewal of the Irish Grand National and after much deliberation I have sided with FULL TIME SCORE for Henry de Bromhead. This Flemensfirth gelding is hugely unexposed and he took a big step forward to beat Discorama here 2 months ago. He warmed to the task and was at his best in the closing stages, finding more and galloping on relentlessly. He looks sure to do better as his stamina is drawn out and this extreme trip should play to his strengths. He is the only runner from this stable which might be a sign to their confidence and has Blackmore in the saddle. What’s not to like?
With 28 heading to post I’m also going to have an each way saver and I think FLOEUR is overpriced for Elliott. He won this in 2018 with General Principle at 20/1 and this horse has suggested this trip will bring about his best. He was a good third to Death Duty at Punchestown before finishing midfield behind Corach Rambler in the Ultima at the Cheltenham Festival last month. He is down to a mark of 141 and I get the impression this horse has a big one in him yet. Plenty of dangers but away from the head of the market. I think Run Wild Fred will run a big race and Time To Get Up also has to be on the radar.
Fairyhouse 5.00 BoyleSports Irish Grand National Chase 3m5f