ITV Racing Saturday Tips and Previews
IT’S THE IRISH DERBY ON SATURDAY! Plus racing from Newcastle and Newmarket live on ITV Racing.
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ITV Racing Saturday Schedule
1.50 Newcastle (AW) Pertemps Network Handicap (Class 2) 6f
2.05 Newmarket (July) Maureen Brittain Memorial Empress Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) 6f
2.25 Newcastle (AW) Pertemps Network Chipchase Stakes (Group 3) 6f
2.40 Newmarket (July) House Of Cavani Menswear Fred Archer Stakes (Listed Race) 1m4f
2.55 Newcastle (AW) Jenningsbet Northumberland Vase Handicap (Class 2) 2m1/2f
3.15 Newmarket (July) House Of Cavani Menswear Criterion Stakes (Group 3) 7f
3.30 Newcastle (AW) Jenningsbet Northumberland Plate Handicap (Class 2) 2m1/2f
3.45 Curragh Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby (Group 1) 1m4f
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Newcastle (AW) 1.50
A wide open sprint to kick off the Northumberland plate coverage on ITV Racing. Before they priced the race up I thought TIPPERARY TIGER would be nearer to favourite than he currently is and looks good value as a result. He caught the eye behind Inver Park last month which looks like good form. He won nicely at Hamilton just over 2 weeks ago and will go close again here off just 4lb higher.
Course and distance winner Strike Red looks the main danger with his last run suggesting he is down to a mark that he can win off and will go well. Raatea could never land a blow at York but this test should suit better so he might run well too.
Newmarket (July) 2.05
This is a decent renewal and the betting probably has it right with the unbeaten Minnetonka priced up as favourite for Richard Hannon. She could obviously be anything having won impressively at Salisbury on debut but it’s hard to know what that form is worth and she is short enough given the strength in depth. MALRESCIA has experience on side and she has won both starts since chasing home Dramatised on debut. She has more to come and could pose a serious threat to the favourite.
Of the rest Lezoo won going away by a length at Bath on debut and if she improves she also has to be taken seriously with Frankie Dettori in the saddle for Ralph Beckett. Absolutelyflawless had excuses when fourth at Beverley and could be one at a bigger price to run well.
This looks a cracking renewal of the Chipchase with the filly SENSE OF DUTY getting the vote. She could easily be 4 wins from 4 runs with a bit more luck on debut but she hasn’t looked backed since. She took a Listed race at Haydock last time and that form looks top class especially Flotus only losing out by a length in a Group 1 at Royal Ascot. If she improves again like she has done every race so far she will take this.
She will need to be as good as I think she is to win this with Spycatcher and Glenshiel looking dangerous. The latter missed his engagement at Royal Ascot due to the ground so will be primed for this. Of the rest it wouldn’t surprise me if Ebro River bounced back as he is top class on his day.
Newmarket (July) 2.40
I’m going to side with the horse that won this 2 years ago in the shape of UNIVERSAL ORDER for David Simcock. He looked to need the run back from a lengthy layoff finishing down the field at Ascot. He improved plenty to chase home Contact at Haydock and if he builds on that again he will go close here. This track really suits him and I think 10/3 is too big.
Stowell is lightly raced and shaped well when sixth in a fiercely competitive handicap at Royal Ascot last week. He could have more to come back down in trip slightly so has to be taken seriously.
Newcastle (AW) 2.55
This looks just as competitive as the main race which I would have loved to have seen EVALUATION run in. He missed out by 1 place on a run in the Plate and I think he will make the most of it here. Keith Dalgleish’s gelding is in red hot form stringing 4 wins in-a-row togethers. He won a couple of those by small margins so could still be well handicapped and has to go close here.
In a race where you need plenty of luck I will be having a saver on AURIFEROUS who has ran his best races over 2 miles and looks like he could close off this mark. There are a few dangers in here as you would expect with the best of them looking like Ravens Ark and Zoffee.
Newmarket (July) 3.15
Sunray Major will likely prove popular here for Gosden and Doyle but he was behind LANEQASH at Haydock last time and for me has his work cutout to try and reverse that form. The latter got within a nose of winning the John Of Gaunt Stakes and that turned into a tactical affair so it was a good run. He has only actually had 7 starts so there should be more to come yet.
It’s not just between the top 2 though with Pogo in here again. He has a 3lb penalty though and might receive pace pressure from Art Du Val. Ever Given has won 2 of his last 3 and also has to be respected despite stepping into group company now.
Newcastle (AW) 3.30
It is a big shame that Trueshan didn’t get a run at Ascot like last year and comes here having to carry a monster weight again. I feel this will be too much again but understand they need to get a run into him for his later season engagements. The narrow vote here goes to VALLEY FORGE who looks made for this trip and likely has some improvement to come. He won despite the jockey dropping the reins last time and hit the line well to get up and will thrive at this trip with a bit of luck in running.
Rajinsky is the favourite at the time of writing and rates the main danger. His run behind Cleveland last time looks very strong and he has useful claimer Harry Davies onboard again so will go well. Golden Flame finished behind the selection already this season but does look a big price to hit the frame.
Great chance for Derby runner-up WESTOVER to get his name back up in lights. He didn’t have much luck at Epsom and finished fast for second having been prevented a run at a crucial stage. I personally still think the winner Desert Crown had him covered but it was still a huge effort in defeat. He will improve again from that and I’ll be surprised if he is beaten here.
Obviously Oaks winner Tuesday lines up for Aidan O’Brien so she has to be feared especially given the stables record in the race. She is tough but this will almost certainly require more. The pair should battle it out but don’t rule out a big run from Lionel following a last gasp win at Goodwood. Looks more a Leger type down the line.