ITV Racing Saturday Tips and Previews
SUPER SATURDAY COMING UP ON ITV RACING! Action from York, Newmarket as well as Ascot. 11 races live on the channel.
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ITV Racing Saturday Schedule
1.45 York John Smith’s Racing Handicap (Class 2) 1m
2.05 Newmarket (July) Bedford Lodge Hotel & Spa Fillies’ Handicap (Class 2) 7f
2.20 York John Smith’s Silver Cup Stakes (Group 3) 1m6f
2.40 Newmarket (July) bet365 Mile Handicap 1m
3.00 Ascot Betfred Heritage Handicap (Class 2) 5f
3.15 Newmarket (July) bet365 Superlative Stakes (Group 2) 7f
3.35 Ascot Fred Cowley MBE Memorial Summer Mile Stakes (Group 2) 1m
3.50 Newmarket (July) bet365 Bunbury Cup (Class 2) 7f
4.05 York John Smith’s Cup Handicap (Class 2) 1m21/2f
4.25 Newmarket (July) Darley July Cup Stakes (Group 1) 6f
4.40 York John Smith’s City Walls Stakes (Listed Race) 5f
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As with plenty of the races at York on Saturday afternoon this looks highly competitive but there is one I really like here in EILEAN DUBH. You can ignore his last run at 6 furlongs as he is clearly better at this trip as he showed when beating a 20-runner field over course and distance by over 2 lengths on the run before that. His recent form over a mile is 11331 and he will go well again here.
Blue For You is the main danger after going close at Sandown last month and is clearly weighted to win a race like this. Of the rest Scottish Summit could outrun his double-figure price back up at a mile. Isla Kai also deserves a mention off a 2lb lower mark.
Newmarket (July) 2.05
Unbeaten filly KIDWAH looks a nice prospect and I think she can make it a perfect 3-3 at Newmarket on Saturday. She won going away on her only start as a 2yo at Doncaster and given time to develop and mature after she was very impressive on return at Redcar last month. She looks sure to go on to bigger and better things and despite being a negative in the betting this morning I think she is comfortably the one to beat.
Golden Spice is progressive and wasn’t disgraced in the Sandringham last month. She has more to come back down in trip so looks the danger. Truely Aclaimed has won her last two and also has to be feared up another 4lb.
It is disappointing to see just 3 line up for this as it will be a tactical affair now. All 3 runners are very good in their own right and could hold their own at a higher level. WITHOUT A FIGHT gets the vote as I think Thunderous could set it up for him from the front. He beat John Leeper over course and distance last time and is better off at the weights here. He is the highest rated in the race and looks the most likely winner.
I like Thunderous and he will have his day but the only way I can see him winning is going off very quick at the front and seeing if Without A Fight can see out the trip with a proper gallop. John Leeper took an age to get going before catching the eye running on late. If he gets rolling a bit earlier he could be a danger but he clearly has his quirks.
Newmarket (July) 2.40
I’m really keen on JIMI HENDRIX showing his best form at Newmarket on Saturday. His form has a progressive look to it and I thought he ran a cracker to finish a close-up third in a fiercely competitive renewal of the Britannia at Royal Ascot last month. That form has already been well advertised since with Claim The Crown winning next time out having been well down the field on that occasion. The winner Thesis, second Saga, fourth Whoputfiftyinyou and fifth Lawful Command (runs here) all look like horses to follow going forward.
The selection is open to improvement on what is just his third start over a mile and he looks a great bet at 3/1 here. Laasudood impressed winning at Doncaster and can progress again so looks a threat. New Kingdom has been gelded ahead of his handicap debut so is another one that might show up well.
One of the toughest races of the day to call with 20 runners lining up with the bookies going 8/1 the field at the time of writing. The first of the two I have backed is BURNING CASH who arrives here going for his hat-trick after fine margin wins at Doncaster on his last two runs. The handicapper can only put him up 4lb here and he gets the 5lb claimer Ryan Sexton back onboard leaving him handicapped to strike again.
I am going to take a chance on STONE OF DESTINY being handicapped to go well here after tumbling down the handicap. He ran no sort of race on the all-weather last time and that got him dropped a further 3lb. He was once rated in the 100s and has gone close off marks in the high 90s so this previous course and distance winner could be overlooked off just 87. Tabdeed is the main danger back at this trip with his form behind Raasel two runs back working out really well. Lovely Mana and Mountain Peak look best of the rest.
Newmarket (July) 3.15
I’m really looking forward to the Superlative Stakes this afternoon as I can’t wait to see unbeaten colt LION OF WAR out again for Mark Johnston. Now this 2yo by Roaring Lion looked potentially smart scooting clear to make it 2-2 at Newcastle last month. He won by 10 lengths eased down under Cieren Fallon and it looked a serious performance. He will need to improve to win this but looks to have a big engine and he could easily be one to follow going forward.
Godolphin horse Victory Dance made a bright start winning on debut and looks the danger. The yard do particularly well in this race too so that bodes well for his chance. Isaac Shelby also won on debut at Newbury and like the two mentioned could be a nice colt going forward. Good race!
A fairly good renewal of the Summer Mile and CHINDIT looks the right favourite after running well in defeat behind horses like Baaeed and Real World at Group 1 level. He drops in class to a Group 2 here and that should be well within his grasp and is the one they all have to beat. There isn’t a huge amount of pace on but I think he is pretty versatile and I expect Pat Dobbs to have him well positioned.
Mutasaabeq was expected to do better at Epsom last time but would still be a danger here. I do think he’ll need to raise his game again though to cope with the selection. My Oberon is going the right way but this is definitely tougher.
Newmarket (July) 3.50
Montassib proved he could handle softer ground winning nicely at Goodwood and he continued his race-by-race progression finishing fifth at Royal Ascot last month. He shaped well on that occasion and with further improvement to come has to be feared but I’m going to side with SAMBURU for John Gosden. This Kingman colt won his first 3 starts before finishing sixth to Noble Truth in the Jersey Stakes. He was only beaten 3 lengths that day and that experience won’t have been lost on him. If he improves again he should take a lot of beating.
Montassib is obviously a big danger as is Star Of Orion at a bigger price. He has won over C&D in the past and while he was behind the latter last time he was slightly hampered and never really gave his true running. He might show up better here and could be worth a bet to hit the frame.
A very interesting renewal of the John Smith’s Cup with lower draws being favoured over the last few years but a lot of the pace is drawn high here. I am going to have two in here at each way prices with BRILLIANT LIGHT being the first one. He won his last handicap over this trip on fast ground before stepping up in trip at Ascot where he could only manage a 4th placed finish. That race at Ascot looks pretty strong so a 4th there isn’t too bad and he will likely show his best form back at this trip from stall 1.
Andrew Balding has a cracking record in the races and it has to be noted he booked the talented 5lb claim Harry Davies to ride ACHELOIS who looks overpriced if you ignore her last run on soft ground at Ayr. On the form of her 2nd at Epsom over this trip on the run before that she will go very well off this mark with the useful 5lb taken off. Mahrajaan is the favourite at the time of writing and is the main danger to the selections but I am not sure how much wiggle room he has at the his current mark on the form of his last two runs but still has potential.
Newmarket (July) 4.25
With 6 wins from 9 career starts PERFECT POWER looks a good bet to make it 3 from 4 this season despite tackling his elders now. He showed a smart turn of foot again to win impressively at Royal Ascot last month and if he produces that burst of speed again then he should get this field in trouble. He is very versatile as to how this might be run and ticks a lot of boxes.
Naval Crown nosed out Creative Force in the Platinum Jubilee at Royal Ascot last month and that pair could put up the most resistance to the selection here. Flaming Rib was second to the favourite last time which was a huge run so at a bigger price he shouldn’t be ruled out either but his draw might end up being a concern.
An intriguing renewal of the City Walls Stakes with last years winner WINTER POWER lining up again. She won this well last year before going on to take the Group 1 Nunthorpe over course and distance. She hasn’t been the same level so far this year but she seems to come alive here. Her rating of 114 is 5lbs plus clear of the rest of the field and if anywhere near last years form she wins this.
There are a few improvers in here including Korker who really caught the eye at Royal Ascot after missing the break by a long way Karl Burke’s charge flew home to finish just 3 lengths behind the winner and will be a danger here. Of the rest Caturra will go well as he is never far away but both dangers will need Winter Power to be below par to take this.