ITV Racing Tips and Previews Saturday
FLAT AND JUMPS ACTION ON SATURDAY! We have the Scottish Grand National from Ayr as well as the Greenham from Newbury so something for everyone.
Make sure you scroll right down to the bottom to see any multiples we are placing. These can be added direct to your bet365 bet slip.
ITV Racing Saturday Schedule
1.15 Ayr Scotty Brand Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) 2m1/2f
1.30 Newbury Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Stakes (Group 3) 1m4f
1.50 Ayr CPMS Novices’ Champion Handicap Chase (Class 2) 3m
2.05 Newbury Dubai Duty Free Stakes (Fred Darling) (Group 3) 7f
2.25 Ayr Coral Scottish Champion Hurdle (Grade 2) 2m
2.40 Newbury Watership Down Stud Too Darn Hot Greenham Stakes (Group 3) 7f
3.00 Ayr Jordan Electrics Ltd Future Champion Novices’ Chase (Grade 2) 2m41/2f
3.15 Newbury BetGoodwin Spring Cup Handicap (Class 2) 1m
3.35 Ayr Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) 4m
Frere D’armes will likely prove popular for the opener but there might be value in opposing as he was beaten off this mark at Ascot last time. PAY THE PIPER may have only finished fifth at Aintree but he was doing some really good late work and hit the line hard. If those excursions haven’t taken their toll he should be going close here off a 1lb lower mark with Brian Hughes getting the leg up.
Elixir De Nutz was an impressive winner at Wincanton back in January and is a horse I like but his run behind Maskada at the Festival last month leaves him with work to do. Hasankey bumped into Red Rookie at Warwick and then ran well behind Dancing On My Own at the Festival last month so could be the main danger if matching that sort of form.
A really open renewal of the Surprise Stakes with Godolphin star HURRICANE LANE looking to bounce back from a far from ideal season. He didn’t get the Soft conditions he wanted on either run last year but he will likely get them at Newbury on Saturday. He is an Irish Derby winner so on his day can blow this field apart and I think he will have enough to win this to kick-off a season that very much leads to the Arc for him.
Mojo Star is similar in that he is on a retrieval mission after just 1 run last year after an injury hit season. He has finished second behind the selection before and if he is ready to roll he is a danger to all. Max Vega wouldn’t beat the two mentioned horses at his best but won this last year and if they don’t show their best he will likely take advantage. Israr is the other one who could be involved with the Gosden yard flying.
I’m surprised CITY CHIEF isn’t shorter than 9/4 here as he has won 2 of his 3 starts over fences and arrives here chasing a hat-trick now. He looks a strong stayer and a mark of 142 back in a handicap should still be workable. Connections decided to keep him fresh for this instead of run at Cheltenham or Aintree and he must have a favourites chance of extending the winning run.
Oscar Elite ran his heart out again to finish fifth in the Ultima behind Corach Rambler but he pulled up at Aintree following that third last year and the worry would be he peaks for that race. Sail Away is probably a greater threat as he is better than what he could show at Chepstow last month and is better judged on that Warwick romp where he jumped really well.
The Fred Darling is usually a good platform for future stars and I wouldn’t write of quite a few of these being potentially classy. MAGICAL SUNSET gets a tentative vote for Amo Racing who have had plenty of winners to start the season and she could be another good one. She was last seen winning easily over course and distance in a decent race here in October. She likes softer conditions and if she has stepped forward she is the one to beat in my opinion.
She is joined at the top of the market by the unbeaten pair of Bridestones and Remarquee who both had decent wins at the end of last season. They are both in the 1,000 Guineas along with the selection and I expect them to be fighting it out. Queen Me and Swingalong are a bit more experienced and might have better form in the book which just shows how competitive this is.
Colonel Mustard gives the impression he has a big one in him at some stage but he was just too keen again at Kelso last month and that eventually cost him finding Benson too strong at the finish. He is feared again but has been made favourite for this so I’ll be opposing. I like SOARING GLORY now with what looks to be a fair bit in his favour. He ran well when fifth to Blenkinsop at Newbury and this test should suit better back down to 2 miles. He is potentially very well handicapped.
Rubaud has been well backed now for Paul Nicholls and he did win nicely at Kempton when last seen. Freshened up for this he could run well and is a danger. First Street carries top weight but needs to get back to his best to seriously threaten here as that run at Cheltenham wouldn’t be good enough despite him not being disgraced.
This is set to be a cracker with two horses we really like as the Dewhurst winner CHALDEAN taking on Noble Style. It was a tight call between them but the selection being proven in softer conditions swung it for us. He has won every race over this trip including 3 Group wins. His form in the book is amongst the best around and you can see why he is second favourite for the 2,000 Guineas. If he is going to win that race he should be winning this.
Noble Style has so much more to come but has to prove he stays which will decide if he goes to the English 2,000 Guineas or wait for the French Guineas. They ran him in 2 novice races before stepping him up to Group company where he made it 3/3 at York. He is a massive danger and like the selection will be one to follow all season. I don’t think this race is as deep as the fillies races with Knight likely best of the rest.
I am confident BALCO COASTAL can bounce back here and win this. There was lots to like about the way he slammed Solo at Kempton and then he ran a big race when second to Gerri Colombe at Sandown in the Scilly Isles. That rival has obviously won very impressively at Aintree since so the form looks really strong now. He disappointed at Cheltenham behind Stage Star but he is better than that and down in grade should resume his progress.
Datsalrightgino was subject to a gamble at the Festival last month but was held up and never got into any sort of rhythm at all. He was pulled up but if back on a going day he could be the danger as it’s still early days with him. Thunder Rock was a place behind the selection at Sandown and wasn’t disgraced behind The Real Whacker so is another one that could run well.
This race is always seriously competitive but one does catch the eye. LATTAM got up on the line at the Curragh in the Irish Lincoln. That was a cracking run to make up a lot of ground late on his seasonal reappearance. He will likely get be even better for the outing and seems to have everything in his favour with soft ground, a nice racing weight and a good draw. He will be tough to beat if in the same form.
Alrehb has had a couple of runs on the all weather so should be cherry ripe for this. He hasn’t been far away on any of his handicap starts and will be the main threat. Of the rest Brunch could go well after a decent comeback run at Doncaster 3 weeks ago and Aussie Banker will be bang there if running to the level of all weather form.
Lucinda Russell won this a couple of years ago with Mighty Thunder and they look to have a great chance of making it 2 wins in the last 3 years with YOUR OWN STORY. This 7yo looked to have stamina in abundance seeing his rivals off easily over the extended 3m6f at Wetherby last month and he stuck to the task gamely when beaten just half a length at Haydock last time back in trip slightly. He is 3lb higher here but remains unexposed as a staying chaser and I think another big performance beckons.
Plenty of dangers obviously and likely headed by the favourite Kitty’s Light. He was back to form off a reduced mark to win going away at Newcastle despite lacking fluency over his fences. Back up 8lb if he can jump better then he will be a danger to all. Monbeg Genius ran a cracker when third to Corach Rambler in the Ultima and is another one that could run well in a typically competitive renewal.
With a Super Saturday ahead and no less than 9 races live on ITV Racing on Saturday I’ve taken four of my strongest bets to make a Lucky 15. If we can land 3/4 winners we would make some decent profit. Pays 200/1!