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Cheltenham Festival Lucky 15
Over the last week I have had a few more bets on the Festival. My NAP went out on Thursday and has been really popular but it wouldn't be the Cheltenham Festival without a Lucky 15.
My Lucky 15s at Cheltenham have always had a good record and this year I particularly like all 4 horses for not only their chances but the prices are great.
The lucky 15 is below but if you want to know why I picked each selection I have a preview for each race as well.
With Ballyburn definitely heading for the longer race MYSTICAL POWER would be a strong selection to win the Supreme. This son of Galileo is still unbeaten and while he wouldn’t have the typical profile having made his debut at Galway back in the summer he was visually very impressive at Punchestown in the Moscow Flyer and that is usually a good pointer. I loved the way he quickly put distance between himself and the rest and he is only going to improve again. This strong pace will suit and I think he’ll be the one finishing best up the Cheltenham hill.
Stablemate Tullyhill is likely to be ridden by Paul Townend and will probably go off favourite as a result. He will try and make all but I don’t think that’ll be easy and I still have one or two doubts over his jumping. Firefox beat Ballyburn at Fairyhouse but was just the sharper, fitter horse on the day. He didn’t seem to stay up in trip at Naas and while the vibes are right now I have my doubts over him especially at this track. Slade Steel would be my idea of a danger as he was progressing well prior to bumping into Ballyburn and still has more to come.
The more I looked at this race the more confident I grew regarding the chances of CORBETTS CROSS. This horse was running a massive race in the Albert Bartlett last year before running out at the last and it is no surprise to see him begin to thrive now sent over fences and up in trip. He was a gutsy winner beating Three Card Brag at Fairyhouse back in December and has had excuses since. He bumped into the talented Grangeclare West at Leopardstown and then was brought down at Fairyhouse last month. He will be fresh for this race and is open to improvement so is one to keep on side.
Obviously Embassy Gardens has done nothing wrong since going over fences making it a perfect 2-2 at Naas when last seen. My issue with him is he has always looked in his comfort zone and I just wonder will he find when the chips are down as there is bound to be a point in this race where he needs to fight. If his rhythm is disrupted will he be as deadly? I have my doubts which makes the selection a strong play in what will likely be a small field. Three Card Brag has been consistent and his form ties in with the fav so he should get competitive as well.
Paul Nicholls obviously won this last year with Stage Star and he sends Ginny’s Destiny this time who is on a four-timer after recording 3 wins at this track through the winter. He is a good horse but this is a tougher test again and I’m fairly convinced GREY DAWNING has his measure before ploughing through the last and losing all momentum. He still nearly got back up but the line just came too soon. He quickly put that right winning by an emphatic 14 lengths at Warwick and looks the most solid option in here. His win over Gaillard Du Mesnil at Haydock earlier in the season was impressive and he has plenty going for him.
Ginny’s Destiny is certainly there with a chance but those front-running tactics might be harder to pull off here especially if both Facile Vega and Gaelic Warrior go for the race. The one I fear most is Iroko as he was really impressive hacking up at Warwick but then suffered a setback. My issue with him is he was initially ruled out the Festival but has obviously recovered much quicker than they thought he would. Hard to know if he is going to be in the same form but obviously if he is strong in the betting then I’d definitely fear him.
I am in good shape for this race as I took 9/2 about INOTHEWAYURTHINKIN before his stablemate Perceval Legallois was taken out. Firm Footings also came out the race and they were the second and third favourite so the price somewhat collapsed on the selection since. It is easy to see why he is popular as he has been running behind graded horses all season. He was only midfield at the DRF when last seen but this significant step up in trip should bring out the best in him. His second to Imagine on reappearance was eye-catching and he could have plenty in hand here off a mark of just 145.
Plenty of dangers as always in these competitive handicaps and you’d have to give last years winner Angel Dawn another shout. She gamely beat Stumptown last year and even 11lb higher would have a chance after catching the eye to finish third at Gowran back in January. She’ll be spot on for this and will give her running. Amirite for Henry de Bromhead is another one to consider despite looking a bit one paced at Leopardstown when last seen.
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