Royal Ascot Day 3
Thursday is traditionally one of my favourite days of Royal Ascot and it's all about the Gold Cup. The staying division takes centre stage and we could be looking at the emergence of a genuine superstar in Scandinavia.
Away from the feature, there are some cracking handicaps to get stuck into and I've found a few at bigger prices that I think have been underestimated by the market. If you're chasing value, Day 3 might be the best card of the entire week.
I know plenty will pile into the Ballydoyle runner but I actually prefer SEA VENTURE. Her debut win at Haydock was packed with promise and she looked like a filly who would improve considerably once stepped up in trip. The extra furlong looks ideal and I can see Ascot bringing out even more.
This is never an easy race to assess but I love the profile of Sea Venture and think she's a fair price against some of the shorter runners in the market.
The King George V is usually won by a horse still ahead of the handicapper and ENCELADUS fits that description perfectly. He has looked better every time he's stepped up in trip and I don't think we've got anywhere near the bottom of him yet.
At 12/1, he's exactly the type I want to side with in a race like this. There are plenty with chances, but I wouldn't be surprised if he's a Group horse running in a handicap.
The obvious form is towards the top of the market but I'm happy to take a chance on EARTH SHOT. I still think she's got a lot more ability than we've seen and she strikes me as the type who could improve rapidly through the summer.
Her run at Goodwood can be upgraded and with James Doyle taking over, I'm expecting a much bigger performance. At the prices, she's the one that makes most appeal.
I don't usually like backing short-priced favourites in staying races but SCANDINAVIA is different. Everything about him screams Gold Cup horse. He keeps finding more, he stays forever and he already has the sort of CV most stayers can only dream of. The scary thing is I don't think he's finished improving yet.
This feels like the race where he truly establishes himself as the dominant force in the division.
This race has broken plenty of punters over the years but MOONFALL is one I keep coming back to. His Chester run was much better than it looks on paper and he shaped like a horse waiting for a strongly-run straight mile.
The Britannia is never straightforward but off a mark of 90 I think he's got plenty going for him. Double-figure odds look generous.
I was impressed with ENDORSEMENT at Leopardstown and the more I look at this race, the more I think he's the right favourite. His form ties in with some of the best three-year-olds around and dropping back to this trip could unlock even more improvement.
Aidan O'Brien has an excellent record in this race and this colt looks tailor-made for it. He's the one they all have to beat.
The market seems to have overlooked THE WIZARD OF EYE and I'm not entirely sure why. His Victoria Cup win was one of the better handicap performances we've seen this season and Ascot clearly suits him.
He's higher in the weights now but he's tough, genuine and arrives in top form. At 12/1, he's exactly the sort of each-way bet I like in the finale.