The quarter finals continue as Spain, the only side yet to concede a goal all tournament, take on a Belgium team that has ground its way through. Spain have five wins and five clean sheets from five, while Belgium have looked short of ideas against organised defences. Below is my full preview, with a best bet, a bigger priced builder and five singles, all backed by the numbers.
Spain have won all five games at this World Cup without conceding a single goal
Belgium scored just once in two games against organised defences (0-0 v Iran, 1-1 v Egypt)
Oyarzabal has four tournament goals and a shot on target in four of five games
Spain have not conceded a goal all tournament and have looked the most complete side in it, so I am with them to win a quarter final they should control. Belgium have struggled badly for ideas against sides that sit in, managing one goal in two games against organised defences, so Belgium under 1.5 fits perfectly. Oyarzabal has been in fine form and rarely goes a game without testing the keeper, so 1+ on target for him rounds it off. 13/10 with bet365 is a fair price on a Spain side that has been ruthless.
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Spain have scored nine goals in five games, including four against Saudi Arabia and three against Austria
Spain have had 5+ corners in all five games (7, 9, 6, 6 and 11)
De Bruyne returns rested and has a shot on target in three of his four games played
Tielemans has been fouled in all five of Belgium’s games and now sits deeper with Onana injured
Tielemans committed four fouls against Senegal alone
Ngoy is Belgium’s top fouler at 1.7 per 90
Team news watch: Ngoy is not certain to start ahead of Theate at centre back. If Theate gets the nod, the two Ngoy legs in the bigger builder and the Ngoy card single are dead, so check the teamsheets at 7pm before you get involved.
If you fancy something with a bit more meat, this six leg builder backs Spain to dominate the ball and the territory while Belgium do the chasing. Spain have hit 5+ corners in every game and scored nine, so the first two legs are rooted in what they actually do. De Bruyne comes back rested and always tests the keeper. Tielemans now sits deeper with Onana out, meaning he both commits and draws fouls, while Ngoy is Belgium’s most frequent offender. 14/1 with bet365 is a proper price for a bet where every leg has a number behind it.
Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change. 18+. T&Cs apply.
Five Singles Worth a Look
Spain to win to nil6/5
Why I like it
Five clean sheets from five
Unai Simon has set a new World Cup record for minutes without conceding
Spain 6+ corners1/1
Why I like it
Spain have hit 6+ corners in every single game this tournament
Including 11 against Cape Verde
Mikel Oyarzabal to score11/8
Why I like it
Four goals at this World Cup
23 goal involvements in his last 17 international starts
Maxim De Cuyper to be carded4/1
Why I like it
Booked twice in recent internationals
Spends Friday night one on one with Lamine Yamal
Nordin Ngoy to be carded10/3
Why I like it
Belgium’s top fouler and already sent off once this tournament
Now facing the movement of Oyarzabal and Olmo
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