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Did you know England have the highest-valued squad in Qatar 2022 at €1.26 Billion 8 other teams surpass the €500 million mark but I think it's safe to say Gareth Southgate won't have too many excuses this time around. I'm counting down the days and can't wait for it to get underway.
Here you will find our Group predictions. As you will notice the single odds are quite short to back but the purpose of this piece is to find a juicy acca that we can stick on before the tournament gets underway to give us plenty of early interest. This 8-fold pays nearly 23/1 (23.62/1) and looks too big to pass up. After great deliberation we have also included a 4/1 4-fold which includes teams we feel are good value To Qualify.
All odds stated are correct at the time of writing.
Group A kicks-off the World Cup on Sunday 20th November with hosts Qatar taking on Ecuador in the opener. The Group is then made up of Senegal and Netherlands who kick-off their campains the day after.
The Netherlands are clear favourites to win the group and will likely win it and keep their unbeaten run going in the process (W11 D4).
They have never failed to qualify from the group in 10 previous World Cups. It will be close between Senegal and Ecuador with the African Cup
of Nations winners just edging it. If Mane was fit from the start they would have a stronger chance but should have enough to qualify.
Ecuador are really well organised but might lack the firepower to qualify. That leaves the hosts who have very little experience and would be a big shock if they went through.
Group B sees European Championships finalists England as strong favourites despite their recent poor form. An opening game against Iranshould be just they start they need and should win this group.
The opening game between Wales and USA could be huge for 2nd place and I think Wales could edge it. They have been improving plenty of the last few years and should edge out a USA side who qualified behind Mexico and Canada for the tournament. Iran are tough to break down but I don’t expect them to upset many.
Group C includes many peoples favourite for the tournament Argentina . Will Messi tick this off the list? If he is going to they will likely win this group well and extend their unbeaten run to 38 games.
Mexico v Poland will be key in the battle for 2nd place and I give Mexico the edge. They have the experience of getting out the group stages regularly before the last 16 curse strikes. They are hard to split so I wouldn’t be surprised if Poland got through but it is down to that first game. Saudi Arabia are one of the worst ranked teams at the World Cup and will likely finish 4th.
Group D has the holders France as strong favourites and whilst I think that is correct I would have them at a slightly bigger price with Denmark a tricky team to beat. France have so much talent that they should be able go deep in to the tournament despite a few injuries. Their experience from 2018 where they only trailed for 10 minutes all tournament is vital here.
Denmark have actually beaten France twice this year so it won’t be easy for the Champions but I do think they will fall short on topping the group. The odds have this group pretty much spot on apart from Australia finishing above Tunisia as the Aussies scraped through to the World Cup and might find themselves bottom of this group.
I love the make-up of Group E as while Spain are favourites to come out on top with Germany in there along with a possibly underrated Japan and Costa Rica who have escaped similar circumstances before it makes them quite a big price to top it. They come into this World Cup in a much better state than in 2018 when Julen Lopetegui was sacked on the eve of the tournament. They reached the semi-finals at Euro 2020 with Luis Enrique in charge and were finalists in the 2021 Nationals League. Their midfield can pick apart any defence in this tournament and it is no surprise to see them a single figure price to win the whole thing.
Germany will likely be challenging them for top spot despite it being their first major tournament without Joachim Low at the helm since the 2006 World Cup. They won 9 from 10 to qualify for the World Cup but then won just 1 of their 6 Nations League games which would have to be slightly concerning. The good news for Germany is winning this group might not be the best way to progress deep into the tournament. Japan might be slightly underestimated here having won 11 of 13 matches since October 2021. They won their opening game against Colombia in the 2018 World Cup and shouldn’t be entirely written off. Costa Rica also deserve to be mentioned as remember they topped their group back in 2014 which consisted of England, Italy and Uruguay.
Both Belgium and Croatia will be looking to pick up where they left off in 2018 with the former finishing third and Croatia losing out to France in the final. They both look pretty nailed on to qualify from Group F with Belgium strong fancies to top the group. They will need Lukaku to be firing to go deep but I expect them to have too much for these. Their recent record in group stages is hard to fault winning each of their last 7 matches in the competition with only Brazil ever winning eight consecutive World Cup group games.
Even with Modric now 37 I think Croatia will finish second. He has now made 25 appearances for his country at major international tournaments and was the heartbeat that took them to the final in 2018 seeing off England in the Semi-Final. Morocco are set to struggle with Hakim Ziyech their star player but he hasn’t been able to make much impact for Chelsea this season. Canada also lack quality with this being their first World Cup since 1986. They do know where the back of the net is scoring plenty of goals in the CONCACAF qualifying which is a positive.
Five-time champions Brazil head into the 2022 World Cup favourites once more! They look to have a squad packed full of quality and may well fancy their chances to end the 20 year dry spell. They are the only nation to take part in every World Cup in history and have finished top of their group in the first round in every World Cup since 1982. They are 4/11 to top Group G and should justify them cramped odds.
The rest isn’t as easy to predict with Switzerland just shading second. They know how to qualify and if they can stop Aleksandar Mitrovic scoring that should suffice. Serbia have never qualified from the group stage in three World Cup appearances and might come up short once more. Cameroon have goals in them but this looks a tough ask and I’m struggling to see them making an impact.
Cristiano Ronaldo and co will be hoping this is pretty straightforward for Portugal and I tend to agree! They are one of only five European nations to appear at every World Cup from 2002 onwards and while Group H could throw up some entertaining clashes ultimately I expect their quality to shine through. Diogo Jota is definitely a big miss for them but they still have the likes of Bruno Fernandes, João Cancelo and Bernardo Silva and more than enough talent to get them through comfortably.
With Darwin Núñez in goalscoring form Uruguay look the biggest dangers. Suarez also bagged eight goals in qualifying and if in the zone will be a big threat. With Son Heung-min struggling with that eye injury South Korea might be up against it. Ghana are interesting seeing as they average more shots per World Cup game than any other side but they have Portugal in the first game which is worrying.
An acca for Group Winners looks the way to go in this market as all are odds-on but the likes of England, Brazil and Argentina are very short. The Acca pays just shy of 24/1 (23.61/1*) which is a big price is a great way to get involved with minimal stakes.
The value bets seem to be in the “to qualify” market and we have picked our best value picks to qualify from the group. It is the ideal market as you get top 2 in both groups with a couple of our selections very much in with chance of winning the group so 4/1 looks fair.
