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Saturday’s ITV Racing Tips and Previews
THE FLAT IS BACK ON SATURDAY! The Lincoln takes centre stage from Doncaster as well as AW action from Kempton to get stuck into.
Make sure you scroll right down to the bottom to see any multiples we are placing. These can be added direct to your bet365 bet slip.
ITV Racing Saturday Schedule
1.50 Doncaster Pertemps Network EBF Brocklesby Stakes (Class 2) 5f
2.05 Kempton (AW) Unibet More Extra Place Races Magnolia Stakes (Listed Race) 1m2f
2.25 Doncaster Pertemps Network Spring Mile Handicap (Class 2) 1m
2.40 Kempton (AW) Try Unibet’s Improved Bet Builder Handicap (Class 3) 1m
3.00 Doncaster Pertemps Network Cambridge Trophy Stakes (Listed Race) 6f
3.15 Kempton (AW) Unibet Queen’s Prize Handicap (Class 2) 2m
3.35 Doncaster Pertemps Network Lincoln (Class 2) 1m
Doncaster 1.50
The Brocklesby is always a bit of a guessing game but VALADERO represents Amo Racing who were victorious last year with Persian Force. This Starspangledbanner colt cost a whopping €250,000 as a yearling and is the most expensive horse in the field. He will likely be plenty forward for this and the betting is already speaking positively about his chances which could prove significant. He is drawn in 5 which is a positive too and he will have plenty of backers.
Loaded Gun cost just €75,000 in comparison but he is well related too and could run well for Andrew Balding. The yard are 5-99 with 2yo newcomers in the last 12 months which is a bit worrying but they do know how to ready one. Indication Call is another to note having cost €42,000 for Karl Burke but a wider draw is a bit of a concern depending where the pace comes from.
Kempton 2.05
This looks a really interesting renewal of the Magnolia Stakes with Secret State clearly the class act but can be hard to catch right. He was last seen blowing out over further at Ascot and whilst I think he will be dangerous back at this trip I am willing to take him on first run back after a winter break. TYRRHENIAN SEA was second to Lord North in the Winter Derby with a really solid run for his first run of the season. He always goes close at this level and if proving better for the run he will surely be thereabouts especially with Roger Varian starting the season well.
The other big danger along with Secret State, Foxes Tales should go well again. I don’t think he should be a shorter price than the selection like he is at the time of writing as he ran on well late but he can get caught too far back and always looks like a good horse coming home well but rarely does the business. This race doesn’t have much pace so it might prove harder to come from off the speed.
Doncaster 2.25
Given we had just 8 runners last year it is great to see a big field for the Spring Mile this time around with 22 heading to post. It is a cracking betting heat with it 7/1 bar the field at the time of writing. I do like one towards the top of the betting in BALTIMORE BOY for Michael Bell. If you put a line through that run at Newcastle this horse has been largely progressive and was last seen running a cracker when a close second to Raising Sand at Ascot. He remains unexposed and could easily surprise a few here as long as he isn’t given too much to do. He likes coming from off the pace but has a lot of speed around him so it could work out perfectly.
Plenty of dangers in a race of this nature probably headed by Broken Spear who will love the ground and should strip much fitter from that reappearance run at Newcastle. Billy Loughnane is superb value for his 5lb claim so I can see him going close. The Gatekeeper is lightly raced and is another one that should go well with confidence high after winning at Newcastle on return from a big layoff.
Kempton 2.40
Another really open race with the bookies going 5/1 the field at the time of writing. At a nice each way price it is worth taking STATELY HOME to make it two in a row over course and distance after a win here on his seasonal reappearance last month. He only won by a neck but was probably value for more if he didn’t meet trouble in-running. It was a cracking ride from Rossa Ryan who got him out of trouble and he picked up really well close home. If stripping fitter for the run he must have a big chances with just a 3lb penalty.
Al Marmar is the favourite at the time of writing and could well be better for his first run of the season but will need to be to win this. He is a danger on his previous form along with Brains who is never far away over a mile and will be bang there again. Of the rest Naval Commander from a slightly wider draw should go well but not much juice to his price.
Doncaster 3.00
A race that has had a tendency to throw up one at longer odds over the years so I’m going to chance EHRAZ at around 9/1 at the time of writing. He has always looked quite promising so it was good to see him get his head back in front at Newmarket on final start. Obviously he was sent off cramped odds and was entitled to go and do that but it was still quite convincing. He will have more to come as a 4yo and might surprise a few here. He has undergone a gelding operation and that could see him take the necessary step forward to win this.
El Caballo is likeable and it is no surprise to see him favourite for this on return. He was unsuited by the fast ground in the Commonwealth Cup and looks a danger to all. Asjad beat Mums Tipple here last year which was a good run and backed that up with two big efforts in defeat after so is another one that could get seriously competitive.
Kempton 3.15
I have been waiting for AZTEC EMPIRE to run again as he looks like a horse who could thrive at these staying trips. He stepped up to two miles for the first time on his last run and won a good handicap nicely. He only got a 6lb rise for that and with plenty more to come he has to be the one to beat in a race that doesn’t look that deep.
Bandinelli is very good on his day but to give weight away to most of these after 3 months off could prove a tough ask and I would only be interested in him if the money really came for him. The main danger could prove to be Jamie Osborne’s Duty Of Care who won his last two over course and distance. He doesn’t have as much scope as the selection but may still have more to come.
Doncaster 3.35
I love the Lincoln and hopefully I’ll be backing the winner this year with AWAAL for Simon and Ed Crisford. This son of Lope De Vega has only had 4 starts winning 2 of them. He was very impressive at Redcar in testing ground on final start and has been put away for this since. The ground is likely to take plenty of getting but that shouldn’t bother him and this unexposed sort could improve past plenty here.
Al Mubhir has a similar profile having won in testing ground at Haydock on final start. He has had a wind op since and has more to come so is feared. Of those at bigger prices Atrium could go well chasing a hat-trick. He was very impressive at Ascot last season and took a while to improve again but is definitely going the right way now.
ITV Racing Lucky 15
With 7 races live on ITV Racing on Saturday I’ve taken my four strongest bets to make a Lucky 15. If we can land 3/4 winners we would make some decent profit. Pays 800/1!
ITV Racing Each Way Double
I like the look of these two at big odds so I’ve combined them to make a juicy looking Each Way Double for Saturday. Even if both place we would make some nice profit. I LANDED A 75/1 WINNER LAST WEEKEND! Pays 80/1!