TODAY’S TIPS
The final round of Group B games tonight with Spain already through and expected to make wholesale changes I am focusing on Croatia v Italy. Croatia need to win to go through whilst Italy just need a point.
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I have put all my bets on with bet365 who are doing some amazing offers throughout the tournament including profit boosts on selected bets (available to eligible customers). Make sure you have an account to follow my exact bets (banner below).
Croatia v Italy
Monday
Kick-off time - 20:00
Group A
Best Bets - Croatia v Italy
Croatia to win (DNB)
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Reasoning
The last 3 H2H games finished 1-1 but looking at the stats of the opening 2 games for each side Croatia average nearly 3 times more shots on target per game compared to Italy. The combination of them needing the win and creating a lot more chances makes this a solid be.
Croatia v Italy Bet Builder
1+ card each team
A.Kramaric 1+ SOT
G.Di Lorenzo 1+ Foul
F.Chiesa 1+ Foul
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The Euros Monday Tips: Analysing and Picking Winners for Croatia vs. Italy
Monday’s fixture in the UEFA Euro 2024 features a highly anticipated match between Croatia and Italy. Here’s a detailed analysis of this game, along with tips on how to pick winners for various bet types.
Match Analysis
Our analysis focuses on several key factors to provide well-informed betting tips:
1. Form and Performance: Recent form is a critical indicator. Italy has shown strong performances throughout the tournament, demonstrating both defensive solidity and attacking prowess. Croatia, while resilient and technically skilled, has had a mixed bag of results, showing vulnerabilities in defense against stronger teams.
2. Head-to-Head Records: Historical encounters between these teams can offer valuable insights. Italy and Croatia have faced each other numerous times in competitive fixtures, with results often closely contested. Historically, Italy tends to edge out Croatia in major tournaments, leveraging their tactical discipline.
3. Injuries and Suspensions: The availability of key players can significantly impact the match. Italy is expected to field a full-strength squad, including their influential midfielders and attackers. Croatia might be missing a few key players due to injuries, which could affect their overall performance.
4. Tactics and Strategy: Understanding team strategies is crucial. Italy’s tactical approach under Roberto Mancini emphasises a solid defensive setup combined with quick, incisive attacks. Croatia, led by Luka Modric, relies on midfield dominance and technical skill to control the game, which can be effective but also vulnerable against well-organised defenses like Italy’s.
Bet Types and Strategies
We provide tips for various bet types to cater to different betting preferences:
1. Match Result (1X2): Predicting the outcome is straightforward. Given Italy’s current form and tactical superiority, they are favored to win. Croatia’s potential to cause an upset should not be ignored, but Italy’s consistency makes them the safer bet.
2. Both Teams to Score (BTTS): This bet requires both teams to score at least one goal. Considering both teams’ offensive capabilities, BTTS is a strong consideration. Italy’s defense is strong, but Croatia’s attacking prowess, especially with players like Modric and Perisic, can break through.
3. Over/Under Goals: This involves betting on whether the total number of goals scored will be over or under a specified number. For Croatia vs. Italy, over 2.5 goals is reasonable given both teams’ attacking strengths. Italy’s solid defense might suggest fewer goals, but the stakes and the quality of the forwards could lead to a higher-scoring game.
4. Correct Score: Predicting the exact score is challenging but offers high rewards. A 2-1 win for Croatia is a realistic prediction, considering their balanced attack and defense. Croatia will score at least 1 with Italy struggling in-front of goal with just 6 shots on target in 2 games.
5. Player-Specific Bets: Bets like “First Goal Scorer” or “Anytime Goal Scorer” rely on individual player analysis. For Italy, Ciro Immobile or Federico Chiesa are strong candidates for the first goal scorer given their form. For Croatia, Luka Modric is a likely pick for anytime goal scorer, as he often steps up in crucial matches.
Croatia vs. Italy:
– Match Result: Croatia to win, based on their superior form and chances created.
– BTTS: Yes, considering the attacking capabilities of both teams.
– Over/Under Goals: Over 2.5 goals, reflecting both teams’ offensive strengths and the stakes of the match.
– Correct Score: 2-1 to Croatia.
– First Goal Scorer: Kramaric from Croatia.
– Anytime Goal Scorer: Luka Modric from Croatia.
