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Royal Ascot Day 5 Tips
It has been a mixed week but it was good to see King Of Steel and Tahiyra win on Day 4 as we go into what is usually a tricky day but with plenty of value on offer.
Stratum goes for his 3rd win in-a-row in the finally but before that we have the very exciting Covey and Free Wind which will be a popular double which I am on at 12/1! My lucky 15 is shorter today as they are all rock solid in the market so 300/1 isn't bad.
I am going for the bet365 £100,000 6 Horse Challenge again on Day 5 of Royal Ascot, get my 6 picks here. It is free.
In such an open race I am going to have a two bets in here. There area. lot more fillies in the line-up this year and they don’t usually have a good record. That said someone that does have a great record is Aidan O’Brien who has won 4 of the last renewals and has a strong hand again here. PEARLS AND RUBIES look liked a classy type when overcoming inexperience to win at Navan just 2 weeks ago. She will be better for this longer trip and is likely the one to beat.
Of the colts GOLDEN MIND at a good each-way price looks a solid bet as he is crying out for 7 furlongs. He is bred to be pretty good and on his first two runs he should be a big player here. The field is packed with potential though with Content, La Guarida and Snellen all massive dangers to my two bets in the race.
The way COVEY galloped clear to win head in chest at Haydock last month was impressive. He has now won 3 from 4 and with more to come stepping into Group company now I expect him to run a big race here under Frankie Dettori. 2 of his 3 wins have come over 7f so the drop back a furlong in trip shouldn't inconvenience and it's no surprise to see him top the betting. This should be run at a good gallop and I can just see him cruising into it before getting on top late.
The Antarctic is more exposed than the selection but he has achieved a decent level of form and showed a good attitude to win at this level in Ireland last month. He looks the danger but I'm confident the selection can improve past him. Enfjaar has won both starts to date and powered clear at Chelmsford. This is obviously a big step up from that but he is open to improvement and is also respected.
The field size isn’t as big as some years but it is still a tough puzzle to solve especially with Highfield Princess running again. ARTORIUS gets the narrow vote after being a tad unlucky to finish 3rd last year. He did have a clean passage through and based on his form in Australia he should be going very well again in the same conditions and for me is the one they have to beat.
I am a big fan of Highfield Princess as you know but she ran a massive race on Tuesday and It would be a massive effort to win this just 4 days later. Wellington has been so unlucky in Hong Kong with superstar Lucky Sweynesse running in all his races. He is very quick and has to be a danger in here. Kinross would be interesting if he had run this season. Al Suhail could be overpriced for last years winning connections after improved form at the start of the year.
Hukum picked up strongly in the closing stages to run down Desert Crown in the Brigadier Gerard at Sandown on return and back up in trip he will be popular here but there might be value in opposing. I liked what I saw from FREE WIND at York and given the runner-up Rogue Millennium has franked the form since winning the Duke Of Cambridge at this meeting earlier in the week she looks certain to run a big race. She will strip fitter from that and also looks set to relish going back up to a mile and a half.
It is not just between the pair mentioned above though as Pyledriver won the King George here last year. He was held behind Hukum before that but he shouldn't be ignored given the class he brings to the table. Deauville Legend is also a very nice horse in his own right and being just a 4yo he might show up better than his odds are suggesting at least.
The Wokingham is as tough as ever so have had 2 bets in the race at bigger prices. Quite a few of these have form that ties in with Probe and I like on that has taken him on plenty this season in APOLLO ONE. They are off level weights here after Probe beat him when getting weight. Apollo One ran a much better race last time at Epsom just losing out with Probe back in 5th. Coming from just off the pace seems to work for him and on fast ground again he should be a player.
FLAMING RIB is a favourite of ours and I think he could be back to his best here. He didn’t really have a chance in his last two races and this might be more within his grasp even with top weight. There isn’t loads of pace on so it would be good to see him bounce out and try and make all. He ran a cracker here last year and could be overpriced. Orazio is the big improver and is the danger to all of these if he copes with the ground. Of the rest Probe, Fresh and King’s Lynn could all go well.
Plenty in with chances here and Ziryab is definitely interesting now he gets a run but I can’t get away from KNOCKBREX for Charlie Johnston. This Ulysses colt saw off two subsequent winners in Perfuse and Crystal Mariner when opening his account at Pontefract on just his second start on a racecourse. He has been beaten twice since but bumped into Gregory at Haydock and we all know what that colt has done since and then was a good fourth at York last month. His form stacks up and if he improves again back in trip he is going to be a danger to all.
Canute will probably go off favourite for Aidan O’Brien after justifying strong support to open his account at Navan when last seen. He isn’t the most straightforward but clearly has an engine and should run well if improving again. Lion Of War got his head in front at Musselburgh last time but this is tougher and he’ll need to continue to progress to have a chance in this. Londoner is quite a big price and I might have a saver on him nearer post time as I do think he can take a big step forward as he has only had 4 starts to date.
After some of the fields on Saturday it is nice to have a 10-runner race and I do like STRATUM to make it a hat-trick here. He doesn’t always look in good form when he arrives here but has landed the last 2 runnings nicely and I actually think his prep run at Leopardstown will set up him up perfectly for this. He has the fast ground again and looks a solid bet unless the smaller field causes it to become very tactical.
Dawn Rising looks like the main danger even though a bit younger than the usual horses that win this. His form looks solid and should go well. Goshen runs and as always you never know but I think he will go off the front and hopefully doesn’t get an easy lead. Dermot Weld doesn’t usually run his horses without a good chance and Falcon Eight could be a run a place.