ITV Racing Tips and Previews Saturday
IT’S THE IRISH OAKS LIVE ON ITV RACING ON SATURDAY! Also Group action from Newbury and Jumps racing from Market Rasen so something for everyone.
Make sure you scroll right down to the bottom to see any multiples we are placing. These can be added direct to your bet365 bet slip.
ITV Racing Saturday Schedule
1.50 Newbury bet365 Stakes (Steventon Stakes) (Listed Race) 1m2f
2.05 Market Rasen Unibet Horserace Betting Operator Of The Year Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 2m41/2f
2.25 Newbury Mettal UK Handicap (Class 2) 2m1/2f
2.40 Market Rasen Unibets Zero% Mission Summer Handicap Hurdle (Class 2) 2m1/2f
3.00 Newbury bet365 Hackwood Stakes (Group 3) 6f
3.15 Market Rasen Unibet Summer Plate Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) 2m51/2f
3.35 Newbury Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes (Class 2) 5f
3.45 Curragh Juddmonte Irish Oaks (Group 1) 1m4f
Hard to look past AL AASY who is clearly the best of these when running to form so no surprise to see him favourite. He went close in the Coronation Cup as a 4yo which is obviously levels above this. His comeback run at Newmarket was disappointing but it was tough to make up ground that day. I expect him to be better for the run and to edge this and he is one of my best bets on the day.
Highland Avenue brings the best recent form but he spurned a decent opportunity at Epsom and can lack a gear change when needed. He is the main danger if he can run to his best but he doesn’t pull down any trees for me and I think he’ll need more. Phantom Flight is quite a big price and shouldn’t be entirely ruled out either.
I have to admit I’m not the biggest fan of Summer Jumps racing but it does look a decent card at Market Rasen on Saturday. A fiercely competitive opener though so it won’t surprise you that I’ve backed two against the field. FENNA’S LOSS looks to have a great chance after winning with a bit in hand at Hexham last month. He is only up 3lb and given he remains fairly unexposed he should give us a good run for our money.
Of those at bigger prices LIGHTHOUSE MILL makes appeal. He bolted up at Stratford on penultimate start and then bumped into Rock The House who was completing a hat-trick of wins. His recent form figures read 23212 so I can’t see how he won’t be involved again off just a 2lb higher mark. Plenty of dangers likely headed by Pink Eyed Pedro who might be a 12yo now but won at Southwell last month and then was only narrowly denied last time.
This looks like a cracking renewal with some exciting types in here. SWEET WILLIAM could be very well handicapped on his form behind Saint George who is now a 109 rated horse. He wasn’t far away from him that day and with the step up to this trip likely to bring out more improvement I quite like his chances. He won a novice event with ease last time and has more to offer here.
It is hard to ignore NATHANAEL GREENE as he was so well backed before the Northumberland Plate at Newcastle and just had a bit too much to do late on whilst flashing home. He is a danger to all of these. Novel Legend is classy and will be running in Group races soon enough but gives weight to some potentially big improvers.
Market Rasen 2.40
There are going to be some bubbles burst here given quite a few of these arrive at the top of their games. The one I like is DANCILA for Fergal O’Brien. He is unexposed over hurdles and won handsomely at Newton Abbot last month. That form has plenty of substance and up 4lb should be the one to beat. He will likely be ridden quietly and that could turn out to be ideal given the amount of early pace on.
Everyonesgame has won 3 of his last 4 and was firmly in control at Worcester last time so looks a big danger. Myristica is on a four-timer and she is another one that can’t be ruled out in a competitive race.
Despite this being a very open race it looks like an ideal opportunity for LEZOO to bounce back with Frankie Dettori returning from suspension. She was a top class filly last season and probably found the Guineas over a mile a shock to the system and it usually takes a race or two to get used to sprints again. This is a race she is more than capable of winning and I think she is the one to beat.
Commanche Falls was impressive in a lesser race at the Curragh and gives weight to the selection as he is an older horse. He is a danger but at a bigger price Annaf could be a threat as well. His form is rock solid and working out well and is a tad under the radar at an each way price.
Market Rasen 3.15
It doesn’t get any easier at Market Rasen I’m afraid so I am chancing 10/1 chance BORN FAMOUS to run well for Iain Jardine. She is really thriving over fences now and completed a four-timer at Perth last week. If this doesn’t come too soon she looks sure to run a good race again back in a handicap off a mark of 110. She remains unexposed and I’m surprised she is a double-figure price.
Francky Du Berlais is handicapped to have a say and didn’t shape badly when third here last month. He’ll be spot on for this now and should run well. Courtland is the other one that catches the eye as he is eyeing up a four-timer and some of his form has worked out notably well.
In a massive field the price of RELIEF RALLY is a bit short but she is the right favourite. She went into Royal Ascot 2 from 2 with fairly easy wins. The ground she made up to miss out by just a nose at Ascot was eye-catching and she is clearly improving a lot with her racing. The Haggas yard are in flying form and I think she is the one they have to beat.
Bobsleigh is a favourite of mine and his form behind River Tiber makes him the main danger. He will be fine at this trip and should be in the mix. Heed The Call for the Archie Watson yard could prove to be overpriced for an improving horse if she takes her chance just a week after he win at Hamilton.
I have been waiting to see BLUESTOCKING over a mile and a half in soft ground and hopefully she can deliver here and at a price as well. She has only had 3 starts and does need to reverse form with Warm Heart but she has looked inexperienced as you’d expect and I think there is a fair bit of improvement to come yet. She won on debut with cut in the ground and might just have found things happening too quickly on a fast surface the last twice. She has more to come and is worth chancing.
Savethelastdance is always going to be favourite for this with that Cheshire Oaks performance sticking in the mind but I’m keen to oppose at the odds. Warm Heart is also progressing and I actually fear her more as she has a great attitude. Lumiere Rock has form that ties in with the latter so might not be all that far away either in an intriguing renewal.