NAP – Best tip overnight
Race 5 Warrnambool 4.30 Rich Paris (best price 11/10)
Progressive mare who has won both starts since her debut and looked particularly convincing over track and trip again last time; sure to keep improving with experience and hard to see how she doesn’t bring up the hat-trick.
This looks a cracking chance for RICH PARIS to bring up a hat-trick of wins. She won a better race than this last time and this actually represents a drop in grade so hard to see how anything will touch her with further improvement to come. She is getting better with experience and I’m surprised she is still odds against. I See You Coming won at Casterton back in June but has been beaten twice since. He was particularly poor at Moonee Valley and needs to bounce back to get competitive. Prophet’s Choice is more exposed but does have some good form to her name so no surprise if she gets competitive. Neutralize best of the rest but needs plenty more.
Race 4 Sapphire Coast 5.05 Sebastian’s Flyer (best price 7/4)
Promising type who looked to need the experience when only fourth on debut but improved since going close at this track last month and then denied less than a length last time; hard to beat if improving again on that effort.
Hard to oppose SEBASTIAN’S FLYER here as he is open to improvement and has knocked on the door the last twice. This is definitely winnable and as long as the debutant Mercurial Boy isn’t up to much then he really should be winning and winning well. Breakaway Week is 0/7 now but did run well last time and could be the danger but the race might already have got away from her by the time she gets going. Mercurial Boy finished third in a trial and is likely to need the outing but the betting will prove informative. Bold Hawk is 0/11 and just isn’t running well enough to win a race at the moment. Surprised he is 11/2 as should be much longer odds in my book.
I’ve gone through every race across all THREE meetings again in Australia overnight so here’s what I’m backing (just scroll down). All my tips can be added straight to your bet365 bet slip (just click the orange links)
This is probably my most popular multiple Down Under as it combines both my Daily Notebooks along with my Value Tip and Daily Eye Catcher. Usually really good value too. Pays 130/1!